Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 14

Date: 2 November 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar)

Referee: Frances R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Greece	Nova Sports
Portugal	Eleven Sports


	Eibar		Lugo

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.75	5.75	Watch
	1.62	3.4	5.5
	1.62	3.65	5.75
	1.61	3.6	5.6
	1.63	3.77	6.34
	1.55	3.7	6.5	Watch
	1.64	3.66	5.6	Watch
	1.62	3.6	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 (1.61)	3.64 ↓ (3.73)	5.83 ↑ (5.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar
58.2%

Draw
25.8%

Lugo
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

25.2%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

24.6%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.4%	8.3%	22.2%

Eibar - Lugo Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 25 - 69.4%). Lugo will win (votes: 8 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 54.3% – 84.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 18).

Eibar has the most likely position - 1 (10.8%), has project points - 66, has currently - 22, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (33%), has a chance of promoted (29%), has a small chance of win league (11%).

Lugo has the most likely position - 22 (11.3%), has project points - 46, has currently - 13, has a chance of relegated (42%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 33, importance 43, match rating 38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Eibar is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Eibar won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Eibar won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
30.10.22	Málaga - Eibar	0:1 ✺
23.10.22	Eibar - Albacete Balompié	1:1 ✺
17.10.22	Sporting de Gijón - Eibar	2:0 ✺
13.10.22	Ibiza - Eibar	1:2 ✺
10.10.22	Eibar - Mirandés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTLWT
- CD Lugo
Spanish LaLiga2
30.10.22	Lugo - Mirandés	0:0 ✺
23.10.22	Lugo - Burgos	2:0 ✺
16.10.22	Málaga - Lugo	3:2 ✺
12.10.22	Lugo - Las Palmas	0:1 ✺
08.10.22	Huesca - Lugo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
26.03.22	Eibar - Lugo	1:0
21.11.21	Lugo - Eibar	2:2
31.05.14	Eibar - Lugo	1:0
04.01.14	Lugo - Eibar	0:0

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