Match Info

Date: 20 December 2020, Sunday


	Eibar		Real Madrid

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.6	1.45	Watch
	6.75	4.2	1.5
	6.75	4.4	1.52	Watch
	6	4.3	1.51
	7.03	4.67	1.5
	6.5	4.4	1.5	Watch
	6.7	4.4	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.6 ↑ (6.54)	4.42 ↑ (4.13)	1.5 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar
14.5%

Draw
21.6%

Real Madrid
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

23.1%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.3%

19.4%

74%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.5%	8%	84.6%

Eibar - Real Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (170 of 201 users predict this - 84.58%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.59% – 89.57%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion to Champions League (Group Stage)).

Eibar has a chance of relegated (17%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Real has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (87%), has a chance of win league (29%).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Eibar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Real is indisputable favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Eibar won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 8-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Eibar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.20	Racing Rioja - Eibar	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
13.12.20	Real Sociedad - Eibar	1:1 ✺
07.12.20	Eibar - Valencia	0:0 ✺
30.11.20	Betis - Eibar	0:2 ✺
22.11.20	Eibar - Getafe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WTTWT
- Real Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
15.12.20	Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao	3:1 ✺
12.12.20	Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.12.20	Real Madrid - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
05.12.20	Sevilla - Real Madrid	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.12.20	Shakhtar Donetsk - Real Madrid	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
14.06.20	Real Madrid - Eibar	3:1
09.11.19	Eibar - Real Madrid	0:4
06.04.19	Real Madrid - Eibar	2:1
24.11.18	Eibar - Real Madrid	3:0
10.03.18	Eibar - Real Madrid	1:2
22.10.17	Real Madrid - Eibar	3:0
04.03.17	Eibar - Real Madrid	1:4

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