Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Ekenas Sparbank Arena TN (Raseborg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ekenäs		JäPS

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.02	3.5	3.2	Watch
	2.04	3.76	3.48
	1.98	3.85	3.34	Watch
	2	3.65	3.4
	1.94	3.67	3.57	Watch
	1.98	3.4	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.02)	3.64 ↑ (3.55)	3.35 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekenäs
46.7%

Draw
25.6%

JäPS
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

26.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

25.2%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekenäs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

JäPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekenäs than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JäPS than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ekenäs - JäPS Predictions

Users Predictions: Ekenäs will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Mikkonen A. (G) 19. Agbo D. 23. Bah S. 15. Bjorklund A. 17. Etu F. 22. Kaleba T. 34. Kerrebijn R. 10. Lucas Kaufmann (C) 3. Maes D. 5. Pakkanen R. 8. Peltola A.	77. Mustafa B. (G) 10. Ahola V. (C) 15. Dahlfors O. 6. Jama O. 21. Katashira C. 17. Ketonen V. 4. Nikki J. 20. Olander H. 9. Ristola A. 41. Salo J. 14. Selander R.
Substitutes
1. Heino O. (G) 11. Mohammed N. 24. Pelkonen N. 13. Sallinen O. 18. Sivonen A.	23. Hahl H. 19. Kuosa H. 7. Maliki S. 2. Manner N. 13. Sainio A. 22. Taskos G. 36. Valtonen T. (G) 18. Virtanen J.
Coaches
Lignell M.	Kankkunen T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Nikki J. 🟨,
29', Dahlfors O. 🟨,
31', Olander H. 🟨,
45+1', Etu F. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Agbo D. ↓, Mohammed N. ↑,
63', Ahola V. ↓, Kuosa H. ↑,
67', 0 - 1, Nikki J. ⚽, Olander H. (A),
73', Kerrebijn R. ↓, Sallinen O. ↑,
80', Peltola A. 🟨,
81', Dahlfors O. ↓, Virtanen J. ↑,
82', Bah S. ↓, Sivonen A. ↑,
88', Ristola A. ↓, Hahl H. ↑,
90+1', Katashira C. 🟨,
90+4', Selander R. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, EIF won 1.

Recent form of EIF has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

JäPS has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

JäPS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

EIF is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, EIF won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, EIF won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 2.4:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	JaPS	25	11	2	12	23:36	-13	35
6	Ekenas	25	8	5	12	29:37	-8	29

Last Results with these Odds

JäPS - the odds 3.32 are the expected chance of winning is 27.95%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekenäs IF
Finnish Ykkosliiga
11.07.26	Haka - Ekenäs	3:1 ✺
04.07.26	Ekenäs - PK-35 Vantaa	0:3 ✺
Finnish Ykkoscup
27.06.26	JIPPO - Ekenäs	1:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
12.06.26	KTP Kotka - Ekenäs	5:1 ✺
06.06.26	Ekenäs - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLTLW
- JäPS
Finnish Ykkosliiga
10.07.26	KTP Kotka - JäPS	4:1 ✺
03.07.26	JäPS - SJK Akatemia	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	KaPa - JäPS	3:1 ✺
12.06.26	JäPS - PK-35 Vantaa	0:5 ✺
05.06.26	Haka - JäPS	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
25.04.26	JäPS - Ekenäs	3:0
29.08.25	JäPS - Ekenäs	0:0
19.06.25	JäPS - Ekenäs	1:1
27.04.25	Ekenäs - JäPS	4:2
Finnish Ykkonen
09.07.23	Ekenäs - JäPS	2:2
Finnish Cup
31.05.23	JäPS - Ekenäs	0:1 penalties
Finnish Ykkonen
22.04.23	JäPS - Ekenäs	1:0

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