Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 15

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Leonardo Costa (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	El Linqueño		Sportivo Belgrano

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.70	2.87
	2.48	2.68	3
	2.37	2.84	3.38
	2.59	2.73	3.15	Watch
	2.17	2.8	3.2
	2.41	2.82	3.34
	2.4	2.7	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.7)	2.75 (2.75)	3.14 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Linqueño
37.8%

Draw
33.1%

Sportivo Belgrano
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

32.9%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

34.7%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Linqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Sportivo Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Linqueño than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

El Linqueño - Sportivo Belgrano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cuesta J. (G) 8. Colombi B. 5. Garcia Pereyra J. 6. Malinauskas J. 11. Mc Cormick A. 10. Meli F. 2. Meza D. 7. Pavon M. 9. Quijada J. 4. Ramos A. 3. Veinticinco J.	1. Martina L. (G) 4. Alessi L. 11. Bono J. 7. Caviglia J. 8. Churchi S. 3. Gancedo M. 5. Gimenez J. 9. Mercado E. 2. Paiz J. 6. Pennesi T. 10. Sagristani M.
Substitutes
14. Alsina T. 12. Atencio J. (G) 20. Cardenas J. I. 18. Cordoba N. 15. Coria J. 16. Juarez Lacoste N. 17. Luques J. 19. Macias L. 13. Ochoa M.	18. Arostegui J. I. 12. Carena J. (G) 15. Contreras P. 17. Dichiara R. 19. Forlin M. 16. Franceschi E. 20. Lesman G. 14. Racca F. 13. Vidal J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Mercado E. ⚽,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 🟨,
75', 🟨,
80', 1 - 1, Meli F. ⚽,
90', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Linqueño won 2.

Recent form of El Linqueño has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sportivo Belgrano is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sportivo Belgrano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, El Linqueño won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, El Linqueño won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA El Linqueño
Argentinian Torneo Federal
22.06.26	9 de Julio - El Linqueño	3:2 ✺
14.06.26	El Linqueño - Douglas Haig	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	Atlético Escobar - El Linqueño	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	El Linqueño - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:2 ✺
24.05.26	Sportivo Las Parejas - El Linqueño	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLL
- Sportivo Belgrano
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.06.26	Douglas Haig - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0 ✺
15.06.26	Sportivo Belgrano - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	1:0 ✺
07.06.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Sportivo Belgrano	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Sportivo Belgrano - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:0 ✺
24.05.26	9 de Julio - Sportivo Belgrano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.04.26	Sportivo Belgrano - El Linqueño	1:1
22.06.25	El Linqueño - Sportivo Belgrano	1:0
20.04.25	Sportivo Belgrano - El Linqueño	3:1
09.06.24	Sportivo Belgrano - El Linqueño	1:0
14.04.24	El Linqueño - Sportivo Belgrano	1:0
08.09.23	Sportivo Belgrano - El Linqueño	4:0
08.07.23	El Linqueño - Sportivo Belgrano	1:1

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