The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
9 de Octubre 64.1%
Draw 22.5%
El Nacional 13.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.9%
22.7%
12.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.1%
21.6%
11.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
9 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
9 de Octubre - El Nacional Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 🟥,
90+5', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 12 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).
9 de Octubre is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
El Nacional is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
9 de Octubre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, 9 de Octubre is the clear favorite.
We predict that 9 de Octubre will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, 9 de Octubre won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, 9 de Octubre won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).