Match Info

Date: 24 February 2020, Monday 🏁 Finished


	El Porvenir		Deportivo Merlo

	1	X	2
	3	2.9	2.3
	3	2.75	2.5
	3.08	2.69	2.31
	3.36	2.92	2.39
	3.3	2.8	2.25
	3.52	3.11	2.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.63)	2.86 ↓ (3)	2.31 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Porvenir
28.5%

Draw
31.9%

Deportivo Merlo
39.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.2%

30%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

23.5%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Porvenir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Porvenir's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Merlo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

El Porvenir - Deportivo Merlo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club El Porvenir
Argentinian Primera C
18.02.20	Deportivo Laferrere - El Porvenir	2:1 ✺
11.02.20	El Porvenir - Central Córdoba de Rosario	0:4 ✺
04.02.20	Berazategui - El Porvenir	0:1 ✺
31.01.20	El Porvenir - Ferrocarril Midland	1:2 ✺
24.01.20	Sportivo Dock Sud - El Porvenir	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 LLWLT
- Deportivo Merlo
Argentinian Primera C
15.02.20	Deportivo Merlo - Leandro N. Alem	0:0 ✺
09.02.20	Argentino de Merlo - Deportivo Merlo	1:2 ✺
04.02.20	Deportivo Merlo - Sportivo Italiano	1:1 ✺
01.02.20	Cañuelas - Deportivo Merlo	0:4 ✺
25.01.20	Deportivo Merlo - Deportivo Español	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
31.08.19	Deportivo Merlo - El Porvenir	3:2
07.05.19	El Porvenir - Deportivo Merlo	1:0
25.11.18	Deportivo Merlo - El Porvenir	1:1
02.05.18	Deportivo Merlo - El Porvenir	1:1
06.12.17	El Porvenir - Deportivo Merlo	2:3
25.10.16	Deportivo Merlo - El Porvenir	1:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
31.10.26	Deportivo Merlo - Arsenal Sarandí	✺

El Porvenir - Deportivo Merlo

Match Info

Current Win Probability

El Porvenir - Deportivo Merlo Predictions

Form

Latest Head to Head

Upcoming Matches

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