Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 18

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche)

Referee: Monescillo D. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion


	Elche		Cádiz

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5	Watch
	1.68	3.4	4.8
	1.72	3.5	5	Watch
	1.71	3.63	5.56
	1.72	3.55	5.34	Watch
	1.83	3.4	4.2
	1.72	3.64	5.1	Watch
	1.72	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.84)	3.53 ↑ (3.4)	5 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche
54.5%

Draw
26.7%

Cádiz
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

27.5%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

26.8%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Elche - Cádiz Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Elche will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Cádiz will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dituro M. (G) 15. Nunez A. 22. Affengruber D. 6. Bigas P. 12. Salinas J. 20. Salvador C. 8. Guti R. 17. Josan 30. Mendoza R. 24. Santiago Y. 9. Alvarez A.	1. Gil D. (G) 11. Alejo I. 14. Kovacevic B. 24. Antonio Cristian 18. Matos Jose 7. Sobrino R. 8. Fernandez A. (C) 6. San Emeterio F. 10. Ocampo B. 9. Marti R. 23. Fernandez C.
Substitutes
16. Alex Martin 21. Castro N. 23. Clerc C. 19. El Ghezouani M. 31. Hernandez G. 18. Kaba S. 2. Mario Gaspar 36. Nunez R. 7. Plano O. 1. San Roman M. (G)	26. Aznar V. (G) 28. Bastida A. 33. Cabrera J. 13. Caro J. (G) 19. De la Rosa J. 3. Fali 25. Melendo O. 15. Mwepu F. 16. Ramos C.
Coaches
Sarabia E.	Lopez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Ontiveros J. ⚽, Alejo I. (A),
17', Marti R. 🟨,
26', Santiago Y. 🟨,
30', Josan 🟨,
37', Ocampo B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', Fali 🟨,
55', Ocampo B. 🟨,
61', Guti R. ↓, Kaba S. ↑,
61', Marti R. ↓, Ramos C. ↑,
62', Fernandez C. ↓, Kouame R. ↑,
69', Affengruber D. ↓, Donald J. ↑,
69', Nunez A. ↓, Plano O. ↑,
69', Salvador C. ↓, Hernandez G. ↑,
75', Ontiveros J. ↓, Antonio Cristian ↑,
82', Castro N. ↓, El Ghezouani M. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Josan ⚽, Salinas J. (A),
89', Alejo I. ↓, Sobrino R. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Santiago Y. ⚽, Josan (A),

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Elche won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Elche could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Elche is a favorite.

There will not play in Cádiz: Jose Mari (Knee Injury) Zaldua J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Cádiz: Hernandez L. (Knee Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Elche won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15:21 (average 1.2:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Elche won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.24	Yeclano Deportivo - Elche	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.24	Tenerife - Elche	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Elche - Real Oviedo	4:0 ✺
16.11.24	Levante - Elche	1:1 ✺
08.11.24	Elche - Almería	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTWTL
- Cádiz CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Cádiz - Eldense	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.24	Cádiz - Deportivo A Coruña	2:4 ✺
23.11.24	Granada - Cádiz	0:0 ✺
17.11.24	Cádiz - Córdoba	2:0 ✺
09.11.24	Mirandés - Cádiz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
04.06.23	Elche - Cádiz	1:1
16.01.23	Cádiz - Elche	1:1
07.05.22	Cádiz - Elche	3:0
05.12.21	Elche - Cádiz	3:1
16.05.21	Cádiz - Elche	1:3
28.11.20	Elche - Cádiz	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
30.06.20	Elche - Cádiz	0:0

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