Match Info

LaLiga - Round 5

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche)

Referee: Sesma M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport 5, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
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Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
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Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Elche		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	4.2	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.8
	2.02	3.15	4.15	Watch
	2	3.2	4.6
	1.35	4.71	9.17	Watch
	2.03	3.33	4.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.99)	3.46 ↑ (3.27)	5.07 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche
51.9%

Draw
28.6%

Real Oviedo
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

29.1%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

28.9%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	14.5%	5.5%

Elche - Real Oviedo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Oviedo (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Elche (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Oviedo (1.85) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Users Predictions: Elche will win (44 of 54 users predict this - 81.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.12% – 91.84%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Elche will win (25 of 26 users predict this - 96.15%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 32 Selected Experts predict this event. Elche (votes: 27 - 84.4%). Oviedo (votes: 4 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Pena I. (G) 17. Josan 22. Affengruber D. 6. Bigas P. (C) 15. Nunez A. 30. Mendoza R. 14. Febas A. 16. Neto M. 11. Valera G. 9. Andre Silva 10. Mir R.	13. Escandell A. (G) 22. Vidal N. 12. Calvo D. (C) 16. Carmo D. 3. Alhassane R. 10. Hassan H. 20. Dendoncker L. 6. Sibo K. 18. Brekalo J. 21. Ilic L. 23. Rondon S.
Substitutes
8. Aguado M. 32. Boayar A. 23. Chust V. 4. Diaby B. 19. Diangana G. 1. Dituro M. (G) 18. Donald J. 39. Fort H. 35. Houary A. 45. Iturbe A. (G) 21. Petrot L. 5. Redondo Solari F.	24. Ahijado L. 2. Bailly E. 8. Cazorla S. 7. Chaira I. 11. Colombatto S. 17. Domingues B. 19. Fores A. 28. Gueye L. 25. Lopez J. 15. Luengo O. 1. Moldovan H. (G) 5. Reina A.
Coaches
Sarabia E.	Paunovic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Andre Silva ⚽,
37', Bigas P. 🟨,
38', Affengruber D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Brekalo J. ↓, Chaira I. ↑,
58', Hassan H. ↓, Cazorla S. ↑,
59', Dendoncker L. 🟨,
65', Vidal N. ↓, Ahijado L. ↑,
66', Rondon S. 🟨,
71', Sibo K. ↓, Reina A. ↑,
71', Ilic L. ↓, Fores A. ↑,
72', Neto M. ↓, Diangana G. ↑,
72', Valera G. ↓, Petrot L. ↑,
78', Josan ↓, Fort H. ↑,
87', Mir R. ↓, Diaby B. ↑,
87', Mendoza R. ↓, Aguado M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elche won 2.

In recent matches, Elche has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Oviedo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Elche is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Elche: Rodriguez A. (Knee Injury) Santiago Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Oviedo: Costas D. (Injury) Ejaria O. (Injury) Lemos A. (Knee Injury) Vinas F. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Elche: Pedrosa A. (Finger Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Elche won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Elche won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga
12.09.25	Sevilla - Elche	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.25	Real Murcia - Elche	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
29.08.25	Elche - Levante	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Atlético Madrid - Elche	1:1 ✺
18.08.25	Elche - Betis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 TLWTT
- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga
13.09.25	Getafe - Real Oviedo	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Real Oviedo - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Real Oviedo - Real Madrid	0:3 ✺
15.08.25	Villarreal - Real Oviedo	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Leganés - Real Oviedo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
14.03.25	Real Oviedo - Elche	1:1
24.11.24	Elche - Real Oviedo	4:0
05.04.24	Elche - Real Oviedo	0:2
15.12.23	Real Oviedo - Elche	3:2
20.07.20	Elche - Real Oviedo	2:1
15.09.19	Real Oviedo - Elche	0:2
09.02.19	Elche - Real Oviedo	1:2

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