Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 9

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche)

Referee: Barrera R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DGO
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar, Movistar Plus+ 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Inter
World	DirecTV Sports


	Elche		Deportivo A Coruña

	1	X	2
	2	3	4.33	Watch
	1.98	3.1	3.7
	2.05	3.2	3.75	Watch
	2.06	3.2	4.21
	2.03	3.16	4.13	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.1
	2.04	3.14	4.13	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.92)	3.16 ↓ (3.41)	3.89 ↓ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche
45.9%

Draw
29.8%

Deportivo A Coruña
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

28%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

27.9%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Deportivo A Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.1%	11.4%	29.5%

Elche - Deportivo A Coruña Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Elche will win (votes: 26 - 59.1%). Deportivo will win (votes: 13 - 29.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 44.6% – 73.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dituro M. (G) 15. Nunez A. 4. Diaby B. 22. Affengruber D. 12. Salinas J. 9. Alvarez A. 14. Febas A. 21. Castro N. 10. Mercau N. 19. El Ghezouani M. 24. Santiago Y.	25. Leite H. (G) 23. Navarro X. 15. Vazquez P. 5. Barcia D. 33. Obrador R. 17. Mella D. 8. Villares D. 12. Mfulu O. 7. Perez L. 21. Soriano M. 9. Barbero I.
Substitutes
16. Alex Martin 6. Bigas P. 8. Guti R. 31. Hernandez G. 18. Kaba S. 2. Mario Gaspar 30. Mendoza R. 36. Nunez R. 7. Plano O. 11. Rashani E. 20. Salvador C. 1. San Roman M. (G)	24. Bouldini M. 11. Davo 18. Escudero S. 14. Herrera C. 20. Jurado J. 4. Martinez P. 1. Parreno G. (G) 28. Patino C. 6. Petxa A. 13. Puerto E. (G) 22. Rama H. 19. Sanchez J.
Coaches
Sarabia E.	Idiakez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Santiago Y. ↓, Bigas P. ↑,
61', Alvarez A. ↓, Plano O. ↑,
65', Febas A. 🟨,
71', Mfulu O. ↓, Jurado J. ↑,
72', Barbero I. ↓, Herrera C. ↑,
72', Castro N. ↓, Mendoza R. ↑,
72', El Ghezouani M. ↓, Kaba S. ↑,
79', Obrador R. ↓, Escudero S. ↑,
79', Soriano M. ↓, Bouldini M. ↑,
80', Bouldini M. 🟨,
85', Salinas J. 🟨,
88', Diaby B. ↓, Salvador C. ↑,
89', Jurado J. 🟨,
90+1', Mella D. ↓, Davo ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Elche won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Elche could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Elche will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Elche: Josan (Knee Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Elche won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.4:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Elche won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:1 (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
05.10.24	Ferrol - Elche	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Málaga - Elche	0:3 ✺
22.09.24	Elche - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Elche - Granada	2:2 ✺
08.09.24	Zaragoza - Elche	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWTL
- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish LaLiga2
06.10.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Málaga	0:0 ✺
27.09.24	Albacete Balompié - Deportivo A Coruña	2:5 ✺
21.09.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Burgos	0:2 ✺
13.09.24	Córdoba - Deportivo A Coruña	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Granada - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
23.06.20	Elche - Deportivo A Coruña	0:1
10.11.19	Deportivo A Coruña - Elche	1:3
04.06.19	Elche - Deportivo A Coruña	0:0
12.10.18	Deportivo A Coruña - Elche	4:0
Spanish LaLiga
29.04.15	Elche - Deportivo A Coruña	4:0
15.12.14	Deportivo A Coruña - Elche	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
22.04.12	Deportivo A Coruña - Elche	4:3

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