Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 20

Date: 19 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche)

Referee: Mallo E. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3
Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Portugal	DAZN 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+ 1
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
World	DirecTV Sports


	Elche		Racing Santander

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	4.1	Watch
	1.9	3.25	3.8
	1.95	3.4	3.75	Watch
	1.98	3.4	4.38
	1.93	3.42	4.17	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.8
	1.93	3.6	3.9	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.89)	3.41 ↓ (3.45)	3.96 ↓ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche
48.6%

Draw
27.6%

Racing Santander
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

27.2%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

26.2%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.2%	22.7%	9.1%

Elche - Racing Santander Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Elche will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Racing will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dituro M. (G) 15. Nunez A. 22. Affengruber D. 6. Bigas P. 12. Salinas J. 17. Josan 14. Febas A. 21. Castro N. 24. Santiago Y. 10. Mercau N. 9. Alvarez A.	13. Ezkieta J. (G) 17. Michelin C. 18. Manu 24. Montero J. 40. Garcia M. 21. Vencedor U. 8. Aldasoro A. 11. Martin A. 22. Rodriguez P. 10. Vicente I. 9. Arana J.
Substitutes
23. Clerc C. 4. Diaby B. 5. Donald J. 19. El Ghezouani M. 8. Guti R. 31. Hernandez G. 18. Kaba S. 2. Mario Gaspar 30. Mendoza R. 7. Plano O. 11. Rashani E. 1. San Roman M. (G)	20. Camara S. 5. Castro J. 34. Diaz D. 3. Garcia S. 12. Gueye M. 7. Junior L. 19. Karrikaburu J. 2. Mantilla A. 1. Parera P. M. (G) 32. Salinas J. 15. Sangalli M. 44. Solorzano Diestro M.
Coaches
Sarabia E.	Lopez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Alvarez A. ⚽, Mercau N. (A),
36', Alvarez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
70', Michelin C. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
71', Manu ↓, Castro J. ↑,
71', Rodriguez P. ↓, Karrikaburu J. ↑,
71', Alvarez A. ↓, El Ghezouani M. ↑,
73', 2 - 0, El Ghezouani M. ⚽, Josan (A),
78', Arana J. 🟨,
80', Mercau N. ↓, Hernandez G. ↑,
80', Santiago Y. ↓, Plano O. ↑,
80', Josan ↓, Diaby B. ↑,
81', Martin A. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
81', Aldasoro A. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
88', Montero J. 🟥,
90+1', Febas A. ↓, Donald J. ↑,
90+6', 3 - 0, Castro N. ⚽, Nunez A. (A),

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Elche won 2.

Elche is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Racing is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Elche is a favorite.

There will not play in Racing: Sainz-Maza I. (Knee Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Elche won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.2:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Elche won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
14.12.24	Eldense - Elche	0:0 ✺
07.12.24	Elche - Cádiz	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.24	Yeclano Deportivo - Elche	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.24	Tenerife - Elche	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Elche - Real Oviedo	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWWTW
- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
15.12.24	Racing Santander - Huesca	0:1 ✺
07.12.24	Granada - Racing Santander	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Racing Santander - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.24	Racing Santander - Mirandés	0:1 ✺
23.11.24	Málaga - Racing Santander	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
04.05.24	Racing Santander - Elche	3:1
02.09.23	Elche - Racing Santander	1:1
04.07.20	Racing Santander - Elche	1:2
01.12.19	Elche - Racing Santander	2:0
31.03.13	Racing Santander - Elche	0:0
28.10.12	Elche - Racing Santander	1:0

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