Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 23

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Location: La Romareda (Zaragoza)

Referee: Fuentes A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+ 1
World	Disney+


	Zaragoza		Tenerife

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	5.5	Watch
	1.78	2.95	5.25
	1.87	3	5
	1.82	3.1	5.63	Watch
	1.8	3.25	4.8
	1.83	3.3	4.92	Watch
	1.87	3	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.79)	3.1 ↓ (3.38)	5.16 ↑ (5.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zaragoza
51.5%

Draw
30.3%

Tenerife
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

28.1%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

21%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zaragoza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tenerife could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.9%	21.1%	21.1%

Zaragoza - Tenerife Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Zaragoza will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Tenerife will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zaragoza: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Poussin G. (G) 15. Vital B. 24. Lopez L. 5. Clemente E. 2. Luna M. 6. Bare K. 8. Aguado M. 17. Nieto C. 23. Aketxe A. 20. Ares A. 9. Azon I.	25. Badia E. (G) 22. Mellot J. 5. Gonzalez S. 4. Leon J. 2. Rodriguez D. 17. Rubio W. 16. Sanz A. (C) 15. Bodiger Y. 19. Cantero A. 8. Diarra Y. 18. Enric
Substitutes
1. Alvarez C. (G) 16. Arriaga K. 11. Bazdar S. 10. Bermejo 19. Calero I. 25. Femenias J. (G) 3. Jair 33. Liso A. 22. Mari A. 21. Moya T. 29. Sans P.	12. Alves R. 1. Carrasco S. (G) 11. Cruz Luismi 24. Gaya J. 6. Gonzalez F. 33. Martin Luis A. 3. Medrano F. 20. Mesa M. 10. Moreno M. 9. Rodriguez A.
Coaches
Ramirez M.	Cervera A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Bodiger Y. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Rubio W. ⚽, Diarra Y. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Ares A. ↓, Liso A. ↑,
46', Aguado M. ↓, Arriaga K. ↑,
52', Sanz A. 🟨,
61', Cantero A. ↓, Cruz Luismi ↑,
61', Cantero A. 🟨,
62', Bodiger Y. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
67', Aketxe A. ↓, Bazdar S. ↑,
67', Bare K. ↓, Moya T. ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Diarra Y. ⚽, Rubio W. (A),
72', Nieto C. 🟨,
76', Nieto C. ↓, Sans P. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Clemente E. ⚽, Bazdar S. (A),
78', 2 - 2, Azon I. ⚽, Moya T. (A),
81', Rubio W. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
81', Enric ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
88', Gonzalez S. ↓, Gaya J. ↑,
90+2', Gaya J. 🟨,
90+4', Bazdar S. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zaragoza won 4.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Tenerife could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Zaragoza is a favorite.

There will not play in Zaragoza: Bazdar S. (Muscle Injury) Francho (Muscle Injury) Soberon M. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Tenerife: Jose Amo (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Zaragoza: Kosa S. (Muscle Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Zaragoza won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21:16 (average 1.1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Zaragoza won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:7 (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
12.01.25	Elche - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	Zaragoza - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
17.12.24	Zaragoza - Real Oviedo	2:3 ✺
14.12.24	Eibar - Zaragoza	2:1 ✺
07.12.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLLT
- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
11.01.25	Tenerife - Castellón	2:0 ✺
07.01.25	Tenerife - Levante	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.01.25	Tenerife - Osasuna	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
22.12.24	Burgos - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
19.12.24	Huesca - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
11.10.24	Tenerife - Zaragoza	2:3
31.03.24	Zaragoza - Tenerife	3:1
26.08.23	Tenerife - Zaragoza	0:1
26.05.23	Zaragoza - Tenerife	1:1
28.10.22	Tenerife - Zaragoza	0:2
02.04.22	Tenerife - Zaragoza	1:1
19.12.21	Zaragoza - Tenerife	0:2

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