Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 18

Date: 8 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Nou Estadi de Tarragona (Tarragona)


	Gimnástic de Tarragona		Atlético Baleares

	1	X	2
	2.38	3	2.8
	2.45	2.8	2.8
	2.5	3.05	2.65
	2.43	2.85	2.9
	2.5	2.97	3.05
	2.25	2.9	3.2
	2.35	2.94	3.05
	2.45	2.85	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.19)	2.92 ↓ (3.16)	2.92 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástic de Tarragona
37.7%

Draw
31.2%

Atlético Baleares
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

29%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

27.2%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástic de Tarragona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Atlético Baleares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnástic de Tarragona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	37.5%	50%

Gimnástic de Tarragona - Atlético Baleares Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gimnàstic will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Baleares will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baleares: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gimnàstic won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Atlético Baleares could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Gimnàstic won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnàstic won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Osasuna	1:2 ET ✺
22.12.22	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Málaga	2:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.12.22	Alcoyano - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1 ✺
11.12.22	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Barcelona B	1:0 ✺
08.12.22	Osasuna B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWTWL
- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.12.22	Atlético Baleares - Real Murcia	0:3 ✺
11.12.22	Athletic Bilbao B - Atlético Baleares	0:1 ✺
08.12.22	Atlético Baleares - SD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
04.12.22	Amorebieta - Atlético Baleares	0:0 ✺
27.11.22	Atlético Baleares - Intercity	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.02.22	Atlético Baleares - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1
28.11.21	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Atlético Baleares	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
01.02.15	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Atlético Baleares	1:1
14.09.14	Atlético Baleares - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.09.14	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Atlético Baleares	1:0 penalties
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
09.02.14	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Atlético Baleares	2:0
29.09.13	Atlético Baleares - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1

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