Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 27

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat (Elda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	3Cat, Esport3, Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Eldense		Gimnástic de Tarragona

	1	X	2
	1.83	2.9	4.2
	1.82	3	4.1
	1.85	3.1	4.25
	1.91	3.18	4.32
	1.89	3.19	4.41	Watch
	1.85	2.88	4
	1.86	3.08	4.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.88)	3.05 ↓ (3.22)	4.22 ↓ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
48.8%

Draw
29.7%

Gimnástic de Tarragona
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

28.8%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

28.2%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Eldense - Gimnástic de Tarragona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vila R. (G) 12. Molina M. 2. Serradell A. G. 21. Ruiz D. 3. Smand F. 10. Fidel 18. Macho G. 7. Quintana Nacho 9. Dioni 11. Bellari H. 19. Ibarrondo A.	1. Rebollo D. (G) 21. Pujol E. 3. Zoilo A. 20. Santos S. 22. Perez H. 23. Baselga M. 14. Sanz O. 6. Prendes M. 8. Montalvo M. 19. Fuentes J. 10. Jardi J.
Substitutes
24. Alba H. 15. Billups B. 8. Bustillo M. 6. Calvo B. 17. Clemente J. 4. Dumic D. 5. Gaixas A. 20. Ibanez R. 22. Nunez R. 16. Quintanilla R. 13. Valencia P. (G) 14. Vega O.	7. Abdallah K. 4. Alba D. 13. Fuidias T. (G) 24. Gelardo A. 11. Jimenez A. 17. Martinez P. 16. Moi 9. Omoigui C. 35. Pavon M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Ruiz D. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Quintana Nacho ⚽,
20', Montalvo M. 🟨,
43', Quintana Nacho 🟨,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Dioni ↓, Calvo B. ↑,
46', 3 - 0, Fidel ⚽,
63', Fuentes J. ↓, Abdallah K. ↑,
63', Prendes M. ↓, Gelardo A. ↑,
65', 4 - 0, Calvo B. ⚽,
69', Molina M. ↓, Alba H. ↑,
69', Quintana Nacho ↓, Clemente J. ↑,
76', Fidel ↓, Nunez R. ↑,
81', 4 - 1, Jardi J. ⚽,
82', Perez H. ↓, Alba D. ↑,
82', Montalvo M. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
82', Baselga M. ↓, Omoigui C. ↑,
82', Macho G. ↓, Billups B. ↑,
88', Bellari H. 🟨,
90', Jimenez A. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 14).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Gimnàstic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Eldense is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eldense won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Eldense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Gimnastic	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.03.26	Villarreal B - Eldense	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Hércules - Eldense	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Eldense - Alcorcón	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Eldense - Sabadell	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Algeciras - Eldense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTWT
- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.03.26	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Antequera	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Atlético Madrid B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Betis B	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Villarreal B	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Alcorcón - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.09.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Eldense	3:0
26.02.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Eldense	0:4
02.10.22	Eldense - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
19.04.15	Eldense - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:2
30.11.14	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Eldense	2:0

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