Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 12

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat (Elda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	A Punt, Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Eldense		Hércules

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.75
	2.02	3.05	3.75
	2.09	3	4.26
	2.05	3.29	3.51	Watch
	2.01	3.19	3.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.05)	3.13 ↓ (3.29)	3.83 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
45.9%

Draw
29.7%

Hércules
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

28.2%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

28%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Eldense - Hércules Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Eldense will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Hércules will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Eldense (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Eldense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vila R. (G) 19. Ibarrondo A. 2. Serradell A. G. 3. Smand F. 23. Vallejo J. 11. Bellari H. 12. Molina M. 7. Quintana Nacho 8. Bustillo M. 10. Fidel (C) 9. Dioni	1. Trujillo Hernandez A. C. (G) 2. Vazquez S. 3. Alvarez A. 4. Rentero J. 24. Jimenez J. 11. Ropero U. 8. Mangada C. 22. Aranda A. 14. Ben Hamed N. 18. Rojas C. 19. Sol F.
Substitutes
15. Billups B. 6. Calvo B. 17. Clemente J. 4. Dumic D. 5. Gaixas A. 20. Ibanez R. 26. Jimenez C. 18. Macho G. 22. Nunez R. 13. Valencia P. (G)	15. Cantero R. 17. De Leon J. 23. de Palmas R. 10. Espinosa N. 28. Galvan J. 16. Gomes V. 30. Mompean M. (G) 5. Monsalve N. 21. Retu 9. Slavy

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Dioni ⚽,
41', Vallejo J. ↓, Clemente J. ↑,
44', Serradell A. G. 🟥,
45+3', Bellari H. ↓, Dumic D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Rojas C. 🟨,
58', Rojas C. ↓, De Leon J. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Clemente J. ⚽,
68', Ben Hamed N. ↓, Slavy ↑,
69', Fidel 🟨,
71', Rentero J. 🟨,
76', Aranda A. ↓, de Palmas R. ↑,
76', Mangada C. ↓, Gomes V. ↑,
78', Dioni 🟨,
84', Fidel ↓, Macho G. ↑,
84', Dioni ↓, Ibanez R. ↑,
90', Sol F. 🟨,
90+4', Bustillo M. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eldense won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Hércules may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Eldense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Eldense won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Eldense won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.11.25	Atlético Madrid B - Eldense	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Eldense - Algeciras	3:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Real Jaén - Eldense	1:3 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.10.25	Eldense - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	CE Europa - Eldense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWWTT
- Hércules CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.11.25	Hércules - CE Europa	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Antequera - Hércules	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Sevilla B - Hércules	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Hércules - Atlético Madrid B	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	Hércules - Villarreal B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.03.22	Hércules - Eldense	0:1
07.11.21	Eldense - Hércules	2:2
Club Friendly
28.08.21	Hércules - Eldense	1:2
23.09.20	Eldense - Hércules	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
12.02.17	Eldense - Hércules	0:2
25.09.16	Hércules - Eldense	5:0
27.03.16	Hércules - Eldense	4:0

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