Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - PROMOTION PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 25 June 2023, Sunday


	Eldense		Real Madrid Castilla

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3
	2.31	2.94	3.43
	2.2	2.9	3.3
	2.25	3.13	3.22
	2.22	3.05	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.32)	3 ↓ (3.1)	3.22 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
41.1%

Draw
30.5%

Real Madrid Castilla
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

29.5%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

28.2%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Eldense - Real Madrid Castilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Eldense will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Real Madrid Castilla will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vallejo G. (G) 17. Clemente J. 12. Hernandez C. 14. Nunez M. 15. Gonzalez Cabanes D. 7. Montes C. 8. Ortuno S. 18. Capo P. 10. Carnicer F. 11. Nieto M. 9. Soberon M.	1. Lopez L. (G) 4. Carrillo A. 3. Marin R. 19. Marvel 5. Ramon P. 34. Paz Martinez N. 6. Martin M. 8. Dotor C. 25. Obrador R. 10. Arribas S. 20. Rodriguez A.
Substitutes
19. Bernal A. 29. Cerdan Garcia C. 16. Correia R. 23. Cristian 20. Estacio X. 5. Forte I. 28. Garcia C. 21. Jorquera Romero J. 22. Ortuno J. 6. Pajarero 4. Pardo J. 13. Stamatakis D. (G)	14. Alvaro 22. Aranda O. 21. Bravo I. 13. Canizares L. (G) 33. Fran (G) 11. Gonzalez P. 17. Leiva A. 9. Lopez A. 16. Nakai T. 2. Tobias V. 18. Villar J. 7. Zidane T.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Eldense is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Real Madrid Castilla is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Eldense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Eldense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Eldense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.06.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Eldense	1:1 ✺
10.06.23	Eldense - Celta de Vigo B	2:0 ✺
03.06.23	Celta de Vigo B - Eldense	3:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.05.23	Real Murcia - Eldense	1:2 ✺
20.05.23	Eldense - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWLWW
- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.06.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Eldense	1:1 ✺
11.06.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Barcelona B	3:0 ✺
03.06.23	Barcelona B - Real Madrid Castilla	4:2 ✺
27.05.23	Algeciras - Real Madrid Castilla	0:1 ✺
20.05.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Fuenlabrada	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.06.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Eldense	1:1

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