Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - PROMOTION PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 17 June 2023, Saturday


	Real Madrid Castilla		Eldense

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.25
	2.05	3.19	3.84
	2	3.1	3.6
	2.01	3.22	3.74
	2.1	3.2	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.9)	3.16 ↓ (3.37)	3.54 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid Castilla
45.1%

Draw
29%

Eldense
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

27.6%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Real Madrid Castilla - Eldense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Real Madrid Castilla will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Eldense will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopez L. (G) 5. Ramon P. 4. Carrillo A. 3. Marin R. 19. Marvel 14. Alvaro 6. Martin M. 11. Gonzalez P. 8. Dotor C. 34. Paz Martinez N. 20. Rodriguez A.	1. Vallejo G. (G) 2. Toni Abad 12. Hernandez C. 14. Nunez M. (C) 15. Gonzalez Cabanes D. 7. Montes C. 18. Capo P. 8. Ortuno S. 10. Carnicer F. 11. Nieto M. 9. Soberon M.
Substitutes
28. Angel M. 22. Aranda O. 10. Arribas S. 21. Bravo I. 13. Canizares L. (G) 31. Garcia G. 17. Leiva A. 25. Obrador R. 26. Pujol E. 2. Tobias V. 18. Villar J. 7. Zidane T.	19. Bernal A. 29. Cerdan Garcia C. 17. Clemente J. 16. Correia R. 20. Estacio X. 5. Forte I. 28. Garcia C. 23. Lopez C. 22. Ortuno J. 6. Pajarero 4. Pardo J. 13. Stamatakis D. (G)

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Real Madrid Castilla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Eldense is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Real Madrid Castilla will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.06.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Barcelona B	3:0 ✺
03.06.23	Barcelona B - Real Madrid Castilla	4:2 ✺
27.05.23	Algeciras - Real Madrid Castilla	0:1 ✺
20.05.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Fuenlabrada	0:0 ✺
13.05.23	Leonesa - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWTL
- CD Eldense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.06.23	Eldense - Celta de Vigo B	2:0 ✺
03.06.23	Celta de Vigo B - Eldense	3:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.05.23	Real Murcia - Eldense	1:2 ✺
20.05.23	Eldense - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0 ✺
14.05.23	Numancia - Eldense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWT

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