Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 12 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Borås Arena (Borås)

Referee: Nobre A. (Por)

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	Elfsborg		Qarabağ Agdam

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.5	2.6
	2.55	3.5	2.65
	2.62	3.6	2.65
	2.66	3.58	2.65
	2.59	3.6	2.58	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.62
	2.71	3.65	2.68
	2.62	3.6	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.05)	3.55 ↑ (3.15)	2.64 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elfsborg
36.6%

Draw
27%

Qarabağ Agdam
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

29%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

29.8%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elfsborg's form might have worsened.

Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Qarabağ Agdam's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elfsborg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Qarabağ Agdam, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	29.2%	29.2%

Elfsborg - Qarabağ Agdam Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Elfsborg will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%). Qarabağ will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 29.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elfsborg: 22% – 61.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Pettersson I. (G) 29. Buhari I. 8. Holmen S. (C) 2. Yegbe T. 23. Hult N. 15. Hedlund S. 27. Zeneli B. 16. Ouma T. 18. Qasem A. 10. Baidoo M. 9. Zeneli A.	99. Kochalski M. (G) 29. Vesovic M. 55. Huseynov B. (C) 2. Silva M. 44. Cafarquliyev E. 8. Jankovic M. 6. Romao J. 21. Kashchuk O. 7. Benzia Y. 10. Zoubir A. 18. Juninho
Substitutes
14. Abdullai J. 5. Aronsson F. 30. Bundgaard M. (G) 4. Henriksson G. 12. Holten E. 19. Kaib R. 13. Larsson J. 28. Ostman L. 20. Rapp G. 26. Richtner L. 7. Thomasen J. 1. Uppenberg M. (G)	11. Addai E. 90. Akhundzade N. 66. Andrade P. 27. Bayramov T. 97. Buntic F. (G) 30. Huseynov A. 15. Leandro Andrade 12. Mammadzada S. (G) 22. Qurbanly M. 20. Richard Almeyda
Coaches
Hiljemark O.	Qurbanov Q.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Qasem A. ⚽, Zeneli B. (A),
61', Huseynov B. 🟨,
67', Kashchuk O. ↓, Leandro Andrade ↑,
70', Zeneli A. ↓, Rapp G. ↑,
77', Qasem A. ↓, Kaib R. ↑,
77', Baidoo M. ↓, Holten E. ↑,
78', Romao J. ↓, Addai E. ↑,
78', Vesovic M. ↓, Bayramov T. ↑,
80', Juninho 🟨,
86', Jankovic M. 🟨,
86', Kaib R. 🟨,
87', Jankovic M. ↓, Andrade P. ↑,
87', Cafarquliyev E. ↓, Akhundzade N. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Elfsborg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Qarabağ is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Elfsborg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Qarabağ have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Qarabağ: Ramazanov A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Elfsborg: Frick P. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Elfsborg
Club Friendly
06.12.24	Elfsborg - Häcken	5:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	Athletic Bilbao - Elfsborg	3:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
10.11.24	Värnamo - Elfsborg	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.11.24	Elfsborg - Braga	1:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
02.11.24	Elfsborg - Västerås SK	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLTTW
- FK Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League
07.12.24	Sabah - Qarabağ Agdam	1:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
04.12.24	Gabala - Qarabağ Agdam	0:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
01.12.24	Neftchi Baku - Qarabağ Agdam	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Lyon	1:4 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
23.11.24	Səbail - Qarabağ Agdam	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TWWLW

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