Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Tofiq Bahramov Stadium (Baku)

Referee: Minakovic N. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 6, New World Sport App
Argentina	ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 2
Cyprus	ANT1
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	FOX Sports Premium
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	Viaplay
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 6
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 8, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 9
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 9
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+


	Qarabağ Agdam		Lyon

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.75	2
	3.2	3.8	2.1
	3.4	3.75	2.1	Watch
	3.51	3.95	2.09
	3.46	3.92	1.98	Watch
	3.4	3.75	2
	3.48	4	2.09
	3.4	3.75	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↓ (3.45)	3.83 ↑ (3.15)	2.06 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qarabağ Agdam
28.2%

Draw
25.1%

Lyon
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

28.7%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

28.7%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5%	10%	85%

Qarabağ Agdam - Lyon Predictions

Users Predictions: Lyon will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Kochalski M. (G) 29. Vesovic M. 13. Mustafazada B. 81. Medina K. 27. Bayramov T. 66. Andrade P. 8. Jankovic M. 7. Benzia Y. 21. Kashchuk O. 18. Juninho 10. Zoubir A. (C)	23. Lucas Perri (G) 98. Maitland-Niles A. 55. Caleta-Car D. 27. Omari W. 3. Tagliafico N. (C) 7. Veretout J. 15. Tessmann T. 18. Cherki R. 11. Fofana M. 69. Mikautadze G. 37. Nuamah E.
Substitutes
11. Addai E. 90. Akhundzade N. 97. Buntic F. (G) 44. Cafarquliyev E. 30. Huseynov A. 24. Isayev A. 15. Leandro Andrade 12. Mammadzada S. (G) 22. Qurbanly M. 20. Richard Almeyda 6. Romao J. 2. Silva M.	16. Abner 30. Bengui J. (G) 17. Benrahma S. 6. Caqueret M. 22. Clinton Mata 40. Descamps R. (G) 20. Kumbedi S. 10. Lacazette A. 31. Matic N. 29. Molebe E. 19. Niakhate M. 8. Tolisso C.
Coaches
Qurbanov Q.	Sage P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Mikautadze G. ⚽, Nuamah E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Nuamah E. ↓, Tolisso C. ↑,
58', Maitland-Niles A. 🟨,
60', Vesovic M. ↓, Silva M. ↑,
60', Andrade P. ↓, Romao J. ↑,
60', Kashchuk O. ↓, Leandro Andrade ↑,
63', Cherki R. ↓, Benrahma S. ↑,
63', 0 - 2, Tolisso C. ⚽, Veretout J. (A),
65', Bayramov T. ↓, Cafarquliyev E. ↑,
68', 0 - 3, Fofana M. ⚽, Benrahma S. (A),
74', Benzia Y. ↓, Addai E. ↑,
77', Tessmann T. ↓, Matic N. ↑,
77', Veretout J. ↓, Caqueret M. ↑,
80', 0 - 4, Mikautadze G. ⚽, Maitland-Niles A. (A),
88', 1 - 4, Juninho (Pen),
90+3', Tagliafico N. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Tofiq Bahramov Stadium.

Qarabağ in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lyon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lyon will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Qarabağ: Ramazanov A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Lyon: Diawara M. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League
23.11.24	Səbail - Qarabağ Agdam	0:3 ✺
10.11.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Zira	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.11.24	Bodø Glimt - Qarabağ Agdam	1:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
01.11.24	Turan Tovuz - Qarabağ Agdam	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Shamakhi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWTW
- Olympique Lyon
French Ligue 1
23.11.24	Reims - Lyon	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Lyon - Saint-Étienne	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.11.24	Hoffenheim - Lyon	2:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
01.11.24	Lille - Lyon	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Lyon - Auxerre	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWTTT

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