Match Info

Challenge Cup - Round 3

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Borough Briggs (Elgin)


	Elgin City		Cove Rangers

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.4	2.15
	2.65	3.3	2.25
	2.82	3.5	2.28
	2.59	3.66	2.35
	2.87	3.43	2.27	Watch
	2.77	3.48	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (3.11)	3.46 ↓ (3.56)	2.27 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elgin City
33.3%

Draw
26.4%

Cove Rangers
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

25.6%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

25%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elgin City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Cove Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elgin City than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cove Rangers than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cove Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Elgin City - Cove Rangers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Cove (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cove (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Walker J. ⚽, Hester K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Elgin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Elgin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elgin City
Scottish League Two
30.08.25	Clyde - Elgin City	0:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
26.08.25	Elgin City - Dundee United 2	3:1 ✺
Scottish League Two
23.08.25	Elgin City - Edinburgh City	2:4 ✺
16.08.25	Dumbarton - Elgin City	1:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
12.08.25	Elgin City - Inverness	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWLTL
- Cove Rangers
Scottish League One
30.08.25	Hamilton Academical - Cove Rangers	0:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
26.08.25	Cove Rangers - Dundee 2	1:0 ✺
Scottish League One
23.08.25	Peterhead - Cove Rangers	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Cove Rangers - Montrose	3:3 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
12.08.25	Cove Rangers - Spartans	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
08.02.20	Elgin City - Cove Rangers	3:0
28.12.19	Cove Rangers - Elgin City	2:0
21.09.19	Elgin City - Cove Rangers	0:2

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