Match Info

Date: 8 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Waldstadion Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg)

Referee: Eckermann M. P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Elversberg		Duisburg

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	4
	1.7	3.9	4.4
	1.65	4	4.25
	1.67	3.95	4.4
	1.74	4.01	4.76
	1.65	3.6	4.4
	1.68	4	4.45	Watch
	1.67	3.95	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.6)	3.9 ↑ (3.88)	4.38 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elversberg
55.2%

Draw
23.7%

Duisburg
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

23.7%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

23.1%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elversberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Duisburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Elversberg - Duisburg Predictions

Users Predictions: Elversberg will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 11).

Elversberg is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Duisburg is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Elversberg is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Elversberg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Elversberg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Elversberg
German 3 Bundesliga
01.10.22	Elversberg - Verl	1:2 ✺
17.09.22	Hallescher - Elversberg	1:3 ✺
10.09.22	Elversberg - 1860 München	4:1 ✺
04.09.22	Meppen - Elversberg	0:0 ✺
27.08.22	Elversberg - Waldhof Mannheim	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWTW
- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
01.10.22	Duisburg - Hallescher	1:0 ✺
18.09.22	Verl - Duisburg	1:0 ✺
11.09.22	Duisburg - Dynamo Dresden	0:1 ✺
03.09.22	1860 München - Duisburg	4:1 ✺
29.08.22	Duisburg - Oldenburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
26.03.14	Duisburg - Elversberg	3:0
05.10.13	Elversberg - Duisburg	1:0

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