Match Info

Date: 6 April 2022, Wednesday


	Independiente Petroleros		Emelec

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.87	Watch
	2.55	3.2	2.7
	2.55	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.5	3.05	2.8
	2.6	3.22	2.96
	2.5	3	2.75	Watch
	2.46	3.3	2.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.78)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)	2.81 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Petroleros
36.9%

Draw
29.7%

Emelec
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

28.9%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

29%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Petroleros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Independiente Petroleros - Emelec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Independiente Petroleros is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Emelec is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Independiente Petroleros could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Independiente Petroleros have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Petroleros
Bolivian Division Profesional
02.04.22	Universitario de Vinto - Independiente Petroleros	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.22	Guabirá - Independiente Petroleros	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
13.03.22	Universitario de Sucre - Independiente Petroleros	1:2 ✺
06.03.22	Independiente Petroleros - Blooming	2:3 ✺
27.02.22	Jorge Wilstermann - Independiente Petroleros	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLWLL
- Emelec
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.04.22	Emelec - LDU Quito	2:0 ✺
21.03.22	Emelec - Delfín	1:2 ✺
13.03.22	Gualaceo - Emelec	2:1 ✺
04.03.22	Emelec - Guayaquil City	2:2 ✺
27.02.22	Independiente del Valle - Emelec	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLLTW

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