Match Info

ECUADOR: Liga Pro - Second stage - Round 29

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio George Capwell (Guayaquil)

Referee: Gonzalez G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
World	Fanatiz


	Emelec		Imbabura

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.3	4.33	Watch
	1.58	3.6	4.75
	1.81	3.45	4.3	Watch
	1.84	3.68	4.45
	1.8	3.59	4.34	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4
	1.63	3.89	5.03	Watch
	1.81	3.45	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 (1.76)	3.56 ↑ (3.5)	4.44 ↓ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emelec
52.8%

Draw
26.2%

Imbabura
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

26.6%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

22.7%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Imbabura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emelec that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imbabura than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Emelec - Imbabura Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Emelec will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Imbabura will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Napa G. (G) 14. Caicedo R. (C) 88. Quinonez J. 32. Bagui Tobar D. O. 15. Cortez G. 55. Borja R. 10. Ricaurte A. 19. Ruiz J. 30. Chamba T. 28. Solis M. 17. Ayovi J.	1. Valero M. (G) 4. Medina E. A. 2. Coronel G. 14. Lecanda T. 10. Espinoza T. 99. Luna Tobar C. 19. Pepinos O. 8. Caicedo R. (C) 22. Mendoza E. 29. Pita J. 23. Klimowicz L.
Substitutes
7. Corozo W. 22. Espinoza G. (G) 51. Gonzaga J. 13. Jhon Sanchez 8. Meli M. 53. Munoz E. 20. Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. 6. Tarira S. 39. Valverde J.	34. Alcivar J. 6. Benitez J. 11. Burbano D. 3. Cabeza E. 5. Cevallos G. 13. Chala M. 15. Chavez R. 90. Minda P. (G) 7. Pantoja L. 9. Paz F. 24. Sanchez S.
Coaches
Alvarez L.	Rodriguez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Luna Tobar C. ⚽, Klimowicz L. (A),
19', Ricaurte A. 🟨,
20', Coronel G. 🟨,
32', 0 - 2, Klimowicz L. ⚽, Pita J. (A),
45', Ayovi J. 🟨,
45+1', Lecanda T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Chamba T. ↓, Munoz E. ↑,
46', Ruiz J. ↓, Corozo W. ↑,
46', Ricaurte A. ↓, Meli M. ↑,
53', Meli M. 🟨,
55', Caicedo R. 🟨,
59', 1 - 2, Corozo W. ⚽, Caicedo R. (A),
60', Klimowicz L. ↓, Benitez J. ↑,
65', Ayovi J. ↓, Gonzaga J. ↑,
69', 2 - 2, Bagui Tobar D. O. ⚽, Corozo W. (A),
77', Caicedo R. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
84', Pita J. ↓, Paz F. ↑,
85', Gonzaga J. 🟨,
90+5', Solis M. ↓, Jhon Sanchez ↑,
90+7', Luna Tobar C. ↓, Burbano D. ↑,
90+7', Mendoza E. ↓, Pantoja L. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 14).

Emelec is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Imbabura has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Emelec is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Emelec won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emelec
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
09.11.24	Deportivo Macará - Emelec	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Emelec - LDU Quito	0:1 ✺
26.10.24	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	Barcelona Guayaquil - Emelec	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Emelec - SD Aucas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLT
- Imbabura SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.11.24	Imbabura - Deportivo Cuenca	0:2 ✺
02.11.24	Libertad Loja - Imbabura	3:1 ✺
28.10.24	Imbabura - Técnico Universitario	0:6 ✺
19.10.24	Independiente del Valle - Imbabura	3:1 ✺
06.10.24	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Imbabura	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
24.05.24	Imbabura - Emelec	1:2

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