Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 3

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha (Guayaquil)

Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+


	Barcelona Guayaquil		Emelec

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.65	4.2	Watch
	2.1	2.92	3.65	Watch
	2.18	2.92	4.01
	2.09	3.11	3.81	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.3
	2.15	2.88	3.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.61)	2.9 ↓ (3.58)	3.81 ↓ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona Guayaquil
43.8%

Draw
31.9%

Emelec
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

25.6%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barcelona Guayaquil's form might have worsened.

Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Emelec's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	42.9%	0%

Barcelona Guayaquil - Emelec Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Barcelona (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Emelec (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Emelec (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Contreras J. (G) 27. Vargas W. 33. Baez J. 3. Sosa L. 15. Perlaza J. 32. Lugo M. 28. Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 21. Villalba H. 16. Cano L. 10. Rojas J. (C) 9. Benedetto D.	12. Ortiz P. (G) 14. Caicedo R. 27. Leon F. (C) 51. Valencia S. 3. Guerrico I. 16. Quintero S. 2. Leguizamon A. 6. Griffith V. 23. Bolanos M. 7. Klimowicz L. 10. Pizzini F.
Substitutes
18. Carabali B. 26. Castillo B. 8. Celiz M. 22. Cevallos J. (G) 7. Gomez J. 23. Martinez T. 12. Mina J. 80. Nunez S. 11. Parrales M. 14. Rangel A. 4. Vallecilla G. 51. Wila J.	17. Ayovi J. 18. Carabali M. 21. Cevallos J. 15. Fragozo L. 5. Mina A. 30. Mina A. 8. Napoli G. 25. Narvaez R. 9. Neris J. 35. Tobar B. 1. Valero M. (G)
Coaches
Farias Acosta C. A.	Sanchez V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Leguizamon A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Valencia S. 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Benedetto D. ⚽, Cano L. (A),
60', Benedetto D. 🟨,
62', Perlaza J. 🟨,
66', Benedetto D. ↓, Parrales M. ↑,
66', Villalba H. ↓, Celiz M. ↑,
66', Perlaza J. ↓, Vallecilla G. ↑,
69', Bolanos M. ↓, Neris J. ↑,
69', Pizzini F. ↓, Mina A. ↑,
72', Quintero S. 🟨,
79', Vargas W. ↓, Carabali B. ↑,
81', Cano L. ↓, Castillo B. ↑,
82', Klimowicz L. ↓, Fragozo L. ↑,
82', Quintero S. ↓, Cevallos J. ↑,
90+3', Guerrico I. ↓, Mina A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 4.

Barcelona has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Emelec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Barcelona could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:21. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	32:25	7	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barcelona Guayaquil
Copa Libertadores
03.03.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Botafogo RJ	1:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.03.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.02.26	Argentinos Juniors - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:2 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.02.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Técnico Universitario	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.02.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Argentinos Juniors	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLWWL
- Emelec
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
28.02.26	Emelec - Delfín	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec	5:1 ✺
15.12.25	Emelec - El Nacional	5:0 ✺
08.12.25	Emelec - Deportivo Macará	0:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
03.12.25	LDU Quito - Emelec	1:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
14.09.25	Emelec - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:4
18.05.25	Barcelona Guayaquil - Emelec	2:0
Club Friendly
11.02.25	Emelec - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:1
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
20.10.24	Barcelona Guayaquil - Emelec	2:1
28.04.24	Emelec - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:1
12.11.23	Emelec - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:0
03.06.23	Barcelona Guayaquil - Emelec	1:3

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