Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 7

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Yanmar Stadion (Almere)

Referee: Bos A. (Ned)


	Almere City		Heracles Almelo

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.90	2.01	Watch
	3.00	3.50	2.05
	3.00	3.70	2.00	Watch
	3.19	3.87	2.10
	3.14	4.1	1.99	Watch
	3.15	3.75	2.07
	3.09	3.89	2.05	Watch
	2.95	3.65	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.17)	3.8 ↓ (3.93)	2.04 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Almere City
30.1%

Draw
24.4%

Heracles Almelo
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

23.7%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

22.5%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Almere City - Heracles Almelo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Heracles will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Almere City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Speel W. (G) 2. Wasinski M. 3. Jacobs Jo. 4. Lawrence J. (C) 5. Bijleveld T. 14. Hoedemakers M. 6. Cornelisse E. 17. Poku E. 21. el Dahri H. 11. Dors M. 18. Huisman B.	1. de Keijzer F. (G) 15. Vicente D. 4. Mirani D. 14. Wrusch M. 25. Manny 5. van der Kust D. 32. Scheperman S. (C) 7. Abbas C. 17. van Gilst T. 18. Hauswirth M. 27. N'djoli J.
Substitutes
7. Burgering B. 8. de Haan M. 19. de Nijs O. 25. Ghogli I. 10. Jacobs Ja. 20. Kalisvaart J. 24. Mateyo M. (G) 44. van Bruggen D. 30. van der Wilt J. 26. van der Zeeuw T.	2. Benita M. 3. Borac M. 10. Bruns T. 8. Engels M. 80. Fofana F. 16. Jansink T. (G) 9. Poppler V. 11. Reine-Adelaide J. 23. te Wierik M. 6. Tomic D. 26. van Kaam D. 33. Zeevalkink L. (G)
Coaches
Dastgir A.	Heilmann V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', el Dahri H. ↓, Jacobs Ja. ↑,
60', Huisman B. ↓, Burgering B. ↑,
69', Hauswirth M. ↓, Bruns T. ↑,
73', Hoedemakers M. ↓, de Nijs O. ↑,
73', Poku E. ↓, de Haan M. ↑,
77', Wrusch M. ↓, Reine-Adelaide J. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Wasinski M. ⚽, Burgering B. (A),
82', Wasinski M. ↓, van Bruggen D. ↑,
85', van Gilst T. ↓, te Wierik M. ↑,
85', Mirani D. ↓, Engels M. ↑,
85', Manny ↓, Poppler V. ↑,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 1st in the Promotion ~ Eredivisie).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 0.

Almere City has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Heracles is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Heracles is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Almere City: Vianello T. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Heracles: Borges Sanches Y. (Knee Injury) Bozinovski R. (Ankle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Almere City: Ritmeester van de Kamp J. (Injury).

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Almere City has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:14 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Almere City against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 3:9 goals (averaging 1:3 per game).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Heracles: 36.1% Almere City: 12.5%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Heracles	10	8	1	1	31:12	19	25
2	Almere City	10	7	1	2	22:7	15	22

Last Results with these Odds

Almere City - the odds 3.17 are the expected chance of winning is 29.42%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almere City FC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.09.26	MVV Maastricht - Almere City	0:4 ✺
04.09.26	Almere City - Jong Ajax	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	De Graafschap - Almere City	1:4 ✺
21.08.26	Vitesse - Almere City	0:3 ✺
14.08.26	Almere City - Jong PSV	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLWWW
- Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.09.26	Heracles Almelo - Jong AZ Alkmaar	3:2 ✺
04.09.26	Heracles Almelo - De Graafschap	5:0 ✺
30.08.26	FC Eindhoven - Heracles Almelo	1:3 ✺
24.08.26	Jong Utrecht - Heracles Almelo	1:6 ✺
14.08.26	Heracles Almelo - Den Bosch	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
19.01.25	Almere City - Heracles Almelo	0:2
15.09.24	Heracles Almelo - Almere City	0:0
03.03.24	Heracles Almelo - Almere City	2:2
26.11.23	Almere City - Heracles Almelo	0:5
Dutch Eerste Divisie
31.03.23	Heracles Almelo - Almere City	1:1
28.10.22	Almere City - Heracles Almelo	3:2
Club Friendly
25.07.18	Heracles Almelo - Almere City	2:1

Upcoming Matches