The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Emmen 54.5%
Draw 22.2%
De Graafschap 23.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.3%
22.1%
32.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.2%
21.7%
31.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emmen's performance.
De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and De Graafschap might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emmen that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that De Graafschap could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Emmen - De Graafschap Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3.5 - over (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Emmen will win
(15 of 15 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Karssies S. (G) 24. Everink L. 2. Mukeh J. 3. Dede-Lhomme Y. 17. Van Hove B. 21. Hojabrpour A. 6. Staring C. 22. Breij M. (C) 12. Quispel F. 40. Veldhuis S. 9. Cooper-Love J.
1. Wieggers T. (G) 16. Martens N. 3. Besselink R. 15. Kok T. 21. Symons K. 24. Meerstadt J. 8. Warmerdam D. 10. de Jong F. (C) 7. van Zijl B. 9. Kania J. 11. Mero T.
Substitutes
10. Abdullatif M. 18. Carus V. 8. Denk L. 27. Huijzer J. 25. Kongolo R. 38. Norder K. (G) 4. Ostergaard C. 7. Rhein T. 15. Sunder C. 29. Toure S. 14. van Manen S. 16. Wanki A. (G)
27. Ahmeti N. 14. Bolk G. 18. Eijken D. 20. Finocchiaro G. 23. Jonkers R. (G) 17. Kaninda N. 40. Kwint K. 25. Pabai M. 22. Reverson P. (G) 38. Smits M. 28. Triep J. 2. Wieckhoff J.
Coaches
van Dam M.
Duivenvoorden T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Kania J. ⚽, Martens N. (A),
18', Meerstadt J. ↓, Bolk G. ↑,
29', 1 - 1, Cooper-Love J. ⚽, Van Hove B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Veldhuis S. ↓, Abdullatif M. ↑,
57', Hojabrpour A. ↓, Rhein T. ↑,
61', Kania J. ↓, Kwint K. ↑,
61', van Zijl B. ↓, Triep J. ↑,
63', 1 - 2, Warmerdam D. ⚽, de Jong F. (A),
70', Quispel F. ↓, van Manen S. ↑,
75', Besselink R. 🟨,
79', Dede-Lhomme Y. ↓, Toure S. ↑,
79', Staring C. ↓, Denk L. ↑,
82', Martens N. ↓, Wieckhoff J. ↑,
82', Mero T. ↓, Ahmeti N. ↑,
88', Kok T. 🟨,
90+2', Mukeh J. 🟨,
90+4', Everink L. 🟨,
90+4', Warmerdam D. 🟨,
90+6', Everink L. 🟥,
90+7', de Jong F. 🟨,
90+7', Breij M. 🟨,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 19).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emmen won 4.
Emmen is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
De Graafschap has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Emmen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Emmen: Claridge A.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in De Graafschap: Leemans C.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Emmen: Amadin N.
(Injury)
There are questionable in De Graafschap: Pabai M.
(Muscle Injury)
Schoppema L.
(Ankle Injury)
We predict that Emmen will win today's game, with odds of 1.97.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Emmen won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:30. (average 1.4:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Emmen won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.9:0.9).
Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now
FC Emmen: 3.87% De Graafschap: 0.81%
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
FC Emmen
10
6
1
3
22:18
4
19
16
De Graafschap
10
3
2
5
13:23
-10
11
Last Results with these Odds
Emmen - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.33%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.
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Karssies S. (G) 
Dede-Lhomme Y. 
Van Hove B. 
Hojabrpour A. 
Cooper-Love J. 
Kania J. 
Mero T. 
Abdullatif M. 
Ostergaard C. 
Ahmeti N. 
Finocchiaro G. 
Pabai M. 
Reverson P. (G) 
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