The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Emmen 34.8%
Draw 27.6%
Utrecht 37.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26%
25.5%
48.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.5%
25%
49.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emmen's performance.
Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Utrecht might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emmen that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utrecht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
45.8%
25%
29.2%
Emmen - Utrecht Predictions
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Emmen will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%). Utrecht will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Emmen: 25.9% – 65.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Emmen has the most likely position - 17 (8.99%), has project points - 37, has currently - 1, has a chance of relegated (26%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Utrecht has the most likely position - 7 (10.99%), has project points - 49, has currently - 2, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality50, small importance23, match rating36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Emmen has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Utrecht is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently Emmen have a series of guest games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Emmen: Caciano L.
(Injury)
Lieder M.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Utrecht: Akmum R.
(Knee Injury)
Hendriks R.
(Knee Injury)
Ramselaar B.
(Injury)
van der Hoorn M.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Emmen: Burnet L.
(Foot Injury)
van Dorp K.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Utrecht: St. Jago T.
(Knee Injury)
Warmerdam D.
(Injury)
van de Streek S.
(Knock)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Emmen won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Emmen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.