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Current Win Probability
Emmen 41%
Draw 24.9%
Waalwijk 34.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.8%
23.8%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.7%
23.2%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
63.6%
9.1%
27.3%
Emmen - Waalwijk Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Emmen will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Emmen: 35.2% – 92%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
38. Unbehaun L. (G) 4. Ostergaard C. 6. Mulder P. 34. Bolk G. 36. Everink L. 8. Bakir A. 25. Kongolo R. 19. Claridge A. 17. Larsen L. 11. Amadin N. 9. Postema R.
16. Spenkelink M. (G) 27. Altena J. 3. van Eijma R. 15. Wouters L. 5. Familia-Castillo J. 6. Roemeratoe G. (C) 8. van Kaam D. 7. Cleonise D. 10. van der Venne R. 17. Kuijpers R. 9. Uneken J.
Substitutes
22. Beukers D. 1. Bucker K. (G) 18. Evina F. 77. Gerezgiher F. 5. Geypens T. 16. Hof D. (G) . Marheineke L. 24. Mesbahi J. 21. Nunumete D. 15. Sunder C. 14. van Manen S.
55. Held N. 20. Kuster H. 14. Lokesa C. 13. Mulder X. (G) 24. Panneflek O. 35. Postma L. 21. Schaapman M. 11. van der Leij T. 31. Vogels L. (G) 25. Witteveen M. 2. Zorgdrager B.
Coaches
van Dam M.
Duits S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
12', Roemeratoe G. 🟨,
12', Postema R. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Claridge A. ⚽, Bakir A. (A),
37', 1 - 1, van der Venne R. ⚽,
41', 1 - 2, Kuijpers R. ⚽, Cleonise D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bakir A. ↓, Nunumete D. ↑,
61', Bolk G. ↓, Geypens T. ↑,
64', Familia-Castillo J. ↓, Held N. ↑,
64', van der Venne R. ↓, Lokesa C. ↑,
74', Ostergaard C. ↓, Gerezgiher F. ↑,
78', Uneken J. ↓, van der Leij T. ↑,
78', Kuijpers R. ↓, Witteveen M. ↑,
84', Claridge A. ↓, Evina F. ↑,
84', Geypens T. ↓, Mesbahi J. ↑,
89', Cleonise D. ↓, Postma L. ↑,
90', van der Leij T. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 2, Postema R. ⚽, Mulder P. (A),
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emmen won 2.
Emmen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Waalwijk is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Waalwijk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Emmen has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Emmen: Denk L.
(Knee Injury)
Kade J.
(Knee Injury)
Rhein T.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Waalwijk: van de Loo T.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Emmen won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:15. (average 1.8:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Emmen won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 2.3:1).
Netherlands
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Unbehaun L. (G) 
Ostergaard C. 
Mulder P. 
van Eijma R. 
Familia-Castillo J. 
Evina F. 
Gerezgiher F. 
Geypens T. 
Mesbahi J. 
Lokesa C. 
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