Match Info

Serie B - Round 19

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Dino Manuzzi (Cesena)

Referee: Tremolada P. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Cesena		Empoli

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.25	4.5	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.7
	1.9	3.15	4.25	Watch
	1.85	3.29	4.54	Watch
	1.91	3.2	3.9
	1.95	3.26	4.3	Watch
	1.84	3.2	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.88)	3.22 ↑ (3.22)	4.28 ↑ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cesena
49.1%

Draw
29.1%

Empoli
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

28.5%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

28.4%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65%	15%	20%

Cesena - Empoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Empoli will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cesena: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Cesena (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Empoli (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Klinsmann J. (G) 15. Ciofi A. (C) 19. Zaro G. 24. Mangraviti M. 11. Ciervo R. 25. Bisoli D. 70. Francesconi M. 14. Berti T. 99. Frabotta G. 7. Blesa J. 9. Shpendi C.	21. Fulignati A. (G) 20. Lovato M. 34. Guarino G. 5. Obaretin N. 7. Elia S. 18. Ghion A. 6. Degli Innocenti D. 27. Moruzzi B. 11. Shpendi S. 10. Ilie R. 19. Nasti M.
Substitutes
16. Amoran P. 6. Arrigoni T. 29. Balde S. 10. Bastoni S. 4. Castagnetti M. 13. Celia R. 40. Ferretti L. (G) 18. Guidi M. 23. Magni V. 32. Olivieri M. 26. Piacentini M. 1. Siano A. (G)	99. Bianchi F. 79. Carboni F. 15. Ceesay J. 2. Curto M. 24. Ebuehi T. 12. Gasparini M. (G) 32. Haas N. 25. Ignacchiti L. 1. Perisan S. (G) 77. Popov B. 29. Tosto L.
Coaches
Mignani M.	Dionisi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Frabotta G. 🟨,
29', Francesconi M. 🟨,
31', Guarino G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, Ilie R. ⚽, Ghion A. (A),
51', Moruzzi B. 🟨,
53', Francesconi M. ↓, Castagnetti M. ↑,
68', Degli Innocenti D. ↓, Haas N. ↑,
68', Ilie R. ↓, Ignacchiti L. ↑,
68', Bisoli D. ↓, Bastoni S. ↑,
68', Frabotta G. ↓, Celia R. ↑,
77', Elia S. ↓, Ceesay J. ↑,
77', Shpendi S. ↓, Popov B. ↑,
78', Berti T. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,
78', Ciofi A. ↓, Magni V. ↑,
82', Ghion A. ↓, Carboni F. ↑,
85', Guidi M. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cesena will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Cesena: Castagnetti M. (Injury) Piacentini M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Empoli: Lovato M. (Injury) Pellegri P. (Injury) Saporiti E. (Injury) Yepes G. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Empoli: Elia S. (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Cesena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Cesena	6	1	4	1	7:8	-1	7
13	Empoli	6	2	0	4	6:10	-4	6

Last Results with these Odds

Cesena - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 48.68%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Cesena
Italian Serie B
27.12.25	Catanzaro - Cesena	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Cesena - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Cesena - Mantova	3:2 ✺
08.12.25	Padova - Cesena	1:1 ✺
28.11.25	Cesena - Modena	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTWTW
- FC Empoli
Italian Serie B
27.12.25	Empoli - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Mantova - Empoli	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Juve Stabia - Empoli	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Empoli - Palermo	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Empoli - Bari	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
17.04.18	Cesena - Empoli	2:3
18.11.17	Empoli - Cesena	5:3
Coppa Italia
29.11.16	Empoli - Cesena	1:2 ET
Italian Serie A
08.02.15	Empoli - Cesena	2:0
20.09.14	Cesena - Empoli	2:2
Italian Serie B
13.05.14	Cesena - Empoli	1:0
14.12.13	Empoli - Cesena	0:0

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