Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 14

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion der Freundschaft (Cottbus)

Referee: Schulz T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Energie Cottbus		Borussia Dortmund II

	1	X	2
	1.83	4.1	3.5
	1.85	3.9	3.6
	1.85	4	3.6
	1.9	4.33	3.78
	1.75	4.15	3.94	Watch
	1.75	3.8	3.6
	1.79	3.95	3.7	Watch
	1.85	4	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.8)	4.03 ↑ (3.86)	3.67 ↓ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Energie Cottbus
51.3%

Draw
23.2%

Borussia Dortmund II
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

24.1%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

23.7%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Energie Cottbus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Borussia Dortmund II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Energie Cottbus than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Energie Cottbus - Borussia Dortmund II Predictions

Users Predictions: Energie Cottbus will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bethke E. (G) 3. Rorig H. 19. Kusic F. 27. Slamar D. 28. Bretschneider N. 23. Krauss M. 10. Cigerci T. 5. Pelivan D. 21. Moker Y. 22. Copado L. 7. Thiele T. (C)	31. Ostrzinski S. (G) 17. Gobel P. 27. Lelle D. 15. Huning B. 2. Mogultay B. 8. Roggow F. (C) 21. Paschke F. 14. Eberwein M. 5. Foti A. 10. Elongo-Yombo R. 20. Hettwer J.
Substitutes
4. Campulka T. 9. Hajrulla R. 14. Hasse T. . Heidrich F. 6. Hofmann J. 15. Kaizer E. 17. Oesterhelweg M. 42. Pronichev M. 1. Sebald A. (G)	39. Aning P. 11. Butler J. 45. Diallo O. 26. Drakas B. 33. Estevao T. (G) 29. Jessen N. 43. Krevsun D.
Coaches
Wollitz C.	Zimmermann J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Hettwer J. ⚽, Foti A. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Thiele T. ⚽,
29', Foti A. 🟨,
30', 2 - 1, Cigerci T. (Pen),
31', Ostrzinski S. 🟨,
32', 2 - 2, Rorig H. (Own goal),
33', Kusic F. ↓, Campulka T. ↑,
38', Moker Y. ↓, Hofmann J. ↑,
45+3', Paschke F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Slamar D. 🟨,
63', Lelle D. 🟨,
69', Elongo-Yombo R. ↓, Drakas B. ↑,
73', Paschke F. ↓, Krevsun D. ↑,
80', 2 - 3, Hettwer J. ⚽,
81', Copado L. ↓, Pronichev M. ↑,
81', Krauss M. ↓, Hajrulla R. ↑,
83', Sebald A. 🟨,
84', Hettwer J. ↓, Diallo O. ↑,
86', Krevsun D. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 3, Hofmann J. ⚽, Cigerci T. (A),
90+5', Hajrulla R. 🟨,
90+6', Drakas B. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 10).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Cottbus could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cottbus is a favorite.

There will not play in Cottbus: Putze J. (Injury)

There will not play in Borussia Dortmund II: Aning P. (Injury) Besong P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cottbus: Halbauer P. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Borussia Dortmund II: Irorere F. (Foot Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cottbus won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:6 (average 0:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Cottbus won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Energie Cottbus
German 3 Bundesliga
02.11.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - Energie Cottbus	4:0 ✺
27.10.24	Energie Cottbus - 1860 München	5:1 ✺
22.10.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Energie Cottbus	1:3 ✺
19.10.24	Energie Cottbus - Sandhausen	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Hannover II - Energie Cottbus	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWTT
- Borussia Dortmund II
German 3 Bundesliga
03.11.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Verl	3:1 ✺
25.10.24	Ingolstadt - Borussia Dortmund II	5:3 ✺
22.10.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Waldhof Mannheim	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	Viktoria Köln - Borussia Dortmund II	3:5 ✺
04.10.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Dynamo Dresden	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
09.05.15	Energie Cottbus - Borussia Dortmund II	0:3
07.11.14	Borussia Dortmund II - Energie Cottbus	3:0

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