Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Polideportivo Sur (Envigado)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Envigado		Bogotá

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.5	5.3
	1.68	3.59	5.81
	1.59	3.76	5.7	Watch
	1.62	3.2	5
	1.66	3.59	5.24	Watch
	1.4	4.1	6.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.4)	3.62 ↓ (4.1)	5.63 ↓ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Envigado
58%

Draw
25.5%

Bogotá
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

22%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

21%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Envigado's form might have worsened.

Bogotá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Envigado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bogotá than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Envigado - Bogotá Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Envigado will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Bogotá will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montoya J. (G) 19. Acuna S. 15. Cuervo G. 11. Hurtado W. 33. Londono E. 21. Lopez E. 9. Marulanda M. 5. Norena S. 6. Palacio J. 27. Quejada J. 16. Ramirez N.	29. Aguilar A. (G) 14. Alfonso A. 99. Castillo D. 10. Castro B. 6. Castro K. 18. Cuero B. 3. Diaz S. 32. Gutierrez A. 13. Moreno Abadia J. C. 30. Moreno F. (C) 11. Sandoval Lasso H.
Substitutes
80. Aristizabal J. 20. Catano J. 23. Hernandez J. . Ochoa D. . Salinas 88. Tovar A. (G) 4. Uribe N. 26. Valencia Mosquera D. A. 17. Zapata D.	36. Canizalez S. 16. Jefferson R. 15. Malagon J. P. 28. Medina M. 7. Mosquera C. 1. Osorno J. (G) 9. Perea S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Ramirez N. ⚽,
41', Quejada J. 🟨,
45+1', Cuervo G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', Moreno F. 🟨,
56', Cuervo G. 🟨,
57', Hurtado W. ↓, Uribe N. ↑,
62', Marulanda M. ↓, Valencia Mosquera D. A. ↑,
62', Palacio J. ↓, Aristizabal J. ↑,
62', Moreno Abadia J. C. ↓, Mosquera C. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Sandoval Lasso H. ⚽,
69', 1 - 2, Sandoval Lasso H. ⚽,
71', Diaz S. 🟨,
72', Norena S. 🟨,
77', Lopez E. 🟨,
80', Sandoval Lasso H. ↓, Medina M. ↑,
80', Castro B. ↓, Canizalez S. ↑,
80', Diaz S. ↓, Perea S. ↑,
80', Ramirez N. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
80', Acuna S. ↓, Salinas S. ↑,
80', Castillo D. 🟨,
84', Valencia Mosquera D. A. 🟨,
87', Salinas S. 🟨,
87', Canizalez S. 🟨,
89', Castillo D. ↓, Jefferson R. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 9).

Envigado is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bogotá's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bogotá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Envigado is the clear favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Envigado	11	2	6	3	12:11	1	12
12	Bogota	11	3	3	5	9:13	-4	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Envigado FC
Colombian Primera B
16.03.26	Envigado - Real Cartagena	1:1 ✺
11.03.26	Leones - Envigado	0:3 ✺
05.03.26	Envigado - Boca Juniors de Cali	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Orsomarso - Envigado	0:1 ✺
24.02.26	Envigado - Deportes Quindío	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWWWL
- Bogotá FC
Colombian Primera B
20.03.26	Bogotá - Deportes Quindío	0:2 ✺
16.03.26	Barranquilla - Bogotá	1:1 ✺
11.03.26	Bogotá - Tigres	0:1 ✺
04.03.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Bogotá	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Bogotá - Atlético Cali	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTLTW

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