Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Deportivo Cali (Palmira)

Referee: Matorel L. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Deportivo Cali		Deportivo Pereira

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	11	Watch
	1.34	4.25	11	Watch
	1.33	4.85	11.04
	1.26	5.24	12.23	Watch
	1.3	4.5	10
	1.31	4.6	10.7	Watch
	1.4	4.5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.4)	4.67 ↑ (4.5)	10.57 ↑ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Cali
71%

Draw
20.1%

Deportivo Pereira
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

20.9%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

15.8%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Deportivo Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (-20.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Cali that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Pereira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Deportivo Cali - Deportivo Pereira Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Deportivo Cali will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Pereira will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Rodriguez A. (G) 27. Viafara F. 2. Aguilar F. 4. Alvarez F. 3. Correa A. 39. Orozco M. 5. Cuellar G. (C) 10. Reynoso E. 18. Hurtado A. 77. Montoya J. 23. Titi	1. Mosquera J. (G) 21. Pacheco W. (C) 16. Moreno Gomez E. A. 2. Urrea S. 29. Renteria R. 25. Delgado F. 5. Bermudez Correa J. A. 3. Rengifo N. 20. Monroy J. 88. Quinones Y. 19. Aguirre M.
Substitutes
9. Dinenno J. 8. Giraldo D. 28. Luis Orejuela 19. Martinez J. 14. Mena J. 22. Mondragon S. (G) 6. Pajaro R. 21. Quinones J. 26. Tello J.	12. Betancourth J. (G) 30. Bovone T. 11. Largacha J. 13. Morales J. 37. Moreno L. 8. Mosquera F. 31. Murillo J. 34. Patino M. 24. Urrea J.
Coaches
Dudamel R.	Reyes A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Correa A. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Hurtado A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Aguirre M. ↓, Largacha J. ↑,
46', Cuellar G. ↓, Pajaro R. ↑,
57', Montoya J. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
60', Delgado F. 🟨,
63', Quinones Y. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
64', Largacha J. (Penalty Awarded),
66', Pacheco W. 🟨,
70', Reynoso E. ↓, Giraldo D. ↑,
77', Pacheco W. ↓, Urrea J. ↑,
78', Moreno Gomez E. A. ↓, Morales J. ↑,
85', Hurtado A. ↓, Dinenno J. ↑,
86', Viafara F. ↓, Luis Orejuela ↑,
90', Bermudez Correa J. A. ↓, Patino M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 20).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cali won 2.

Deportivo Cali has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pereira is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Deportivo Cali is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cali won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cali won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Dep. Cali	13	7	4	2	20:9	11	25
19	Pereira	12	1	6	5	7:17	-10	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Cali
Colombian Primera A
22.03.26	Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Cali	1:0 ✺
18.03.26	Deportivo Cali - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Deportivo Cali	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Deportivo Cali - Once Caldas	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Deportivo Cali - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTWLT
- Deportivo Pereira
Colombian Primera A
24.03.26	Deportivo Pereira - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:2 ✺
18.03.26	Inter Bogotá - Deportivo Pereira	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Deportivo Pereira - Rionegro Águilas	0:1 ✺
10.03.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pereira	3:0 ✺
26.02.26	Millonarios - Deportivo Pereira	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
03.10.25	Deportivo Cali - Deportivo Pereira	1:0
15.04.25	Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Cali	2:0
16.07.24	Deportivo Cali - Deportivo Pereira	0:2
19.01.24	Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Cali	2:2
17.07.23	Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Cali	0:2
01.03.23	Deportivo Cali - Deportivo Pereira	0:1
25.07.22	Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Cali	2:1

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