The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Envigado 31.4%
Draw 33.3%
Alianza Valledupar 35.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.1%
31.6%
32.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37%
32.4%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Envigado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
50%
16.7%
Envigado - Alianza Valledupar Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Envigado will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Alianza will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Envigado (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Envigado (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Montoya J. (G) 15. Cuervo S. 28. Gamboa Valencia J. J. 21. Lopez E. 27. Quejada J. 26. Valencia Mosquera D. A. 2. Palacios D. 39. Gomez L. 34. Diaz L. 70. Araujo J. 13. Soto T.
12. Chaverra J. (G) 60. Rosales Y. 3. Moreno K. 5. Franco P. (C) 22. Suarez K. 29. Torres E. 24. Manjarres R. 7. Castillo J. 8. Munoz J. 10. Munoz J. 32. Lucumi C.
Substitutes
30. Agron B. 23. Dawson D. 19. Espana Alvarez R. C. 11. Garces J. 14. Hinestroza J. 3. Holguin J. 18. Hurtado W. 88. Tovar A. (G) 4. Uribe N.
11. Aponza Cantonil S. A. 33. Fernandez W. 18. Garcia J. 21. Mosquera F. 25. Perez Balcazar J. E. 19. Perez L. 1. Wallens J. (G)
Coaches
Orozco A.
Bodhert H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Gomez L. 🟨,
21', Castillo J. 🟨,
23', Manjarres R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gomez L. ↓, Hinestroza J. ↑,
46', Soto T. ↓, Hurtado W. ↑,
46', Araujo J. ↓, Garces J. ↑,
46', Manjarres R. ↓, Fernandez W. ↑,
46', Castillo J. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
54', Fernandez W. 🟨,
64', Quejada J. ↓, Holguin J. ↑,
65', Cuervo S. 🟨,
67', Torres E. ↓, Perez Balcazar J. E. ↑,
68', Palacios D. 🟨,
74', Lucumi C. 🟨,
76', Munoz J. ↓, Aponza Cantonil S. A. ↑,
80', Munoz J. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
80', Valencia Mosquera D. A. ↓, Espana Alvarez R. C. ↑,
90+3', Hurtado W. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Alianza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Envigado won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.1:1).
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Montoya J. (G) 
Dawson D. 
Fernandez W. 
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