Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 17

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Polideportivo Sur (Envigado)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz


	Envigado		Boyacá Chicó

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.7	Watch
	2.18	3.05	3.55	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.83
	1.87	3.20	4.21	Watch
	2.15	3	3.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.87)	3.1 ↓ (3.2)	3.8 ↓ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Envigado
45%

Draw
30.3%

Boyacá Chicó
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

28.8%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

28.2%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Boyacá Chicó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Envigado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Envigado - Boyacá Chicó Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Envigado will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Envigado (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Tovar A. (G) 4. Uribe N. 28. Gamboa Valencia J. J. 21. Lopez E. (C) 27. Quejada J. 26. Valencia Mosquera D. A. 2. Palacios D. 68. Aristizabal J. 34. Diaz L. 31. Berrio F. 18. Hurtado W.	1. Caicedo Vasquez R. A. (G) 17. Ampudia J. 2. Saldana A. 26. Banguero A. 3. Quiceno J. 18. Johan Bocanegra 27. Londono K. 7. Arango E. 19. Cortes K. 9. Molina J. 10. Ramirez Raigosa D. A.
Substitutes
15. Cuervo S. 23. Dawson D. 8. Espana Alvarez R. C. 11. Garces J. 3. Holguin J. 1. Montoya J. (G) 6. Palacio J. 13. Soto T. 30. Zapata D.	6. Aedo A. 28. Camargo E. 30. Gomez M. 77. Jordan J. 21. Pimentel J. 24. Valencia A. 12. Zapata B. (G)
Coaches
Orozco A.	Torres F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Gamboa Valencia J. J. 🟨,
29', Quejada J. 🟨,
38', Saldana A. 🟨,
42', Ampudia J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Berrio F. ↓, Garces J. ↑,
62', Aristizabal J. 🟨,
63', 0 - 1, Molina J. ⚽, Arango E. (A),
67', Uribe N. 🟨,
68', Molina J. 🟨,
69', Valencia Mosquera D. A. 🟨,
70', Lopez E. ↓, Soto T. ↑,
70', Aristizabal J. ↓, Espana Alvarez R. C. ↑,
71', Valencia Mosquera D. A. ↓, Palacio J. ↑,
73', Soto T. 🟨,
75', Arango E. ↓, Valencia A. ↑,
79', Hurtado W. ↓, Dawson D. ↑,
81', 0 - 2, Molina J. ⚽,
86', Molina J. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
86', Johan Bocanegra ↓, Jordan J. ↑,
86', Londono K. ↓, Aedo A. ↑,
88', Ramirez Raigosa D. A. 🟨,
90+1', Valencia A. 🟥,
90+4', Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↓, Camargo E. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 19).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 1.

Recent performances by Envigado have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Boyacá Chicó is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Envigado may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Envigado could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 0.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Envigado won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Envigado FC
Colombian Copa
21.10.25	Deportivo Pereira - Envigado	1:1 penalties ✺
Colombian Primera A
17.10.25	Unión Magdalena - Envigado	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Deportes Tolima - Envigado	1:2 ✺
Colombian Copa
07.10.25	Envigado - Deportivo Pereira	2:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
04.10.25	Envigado - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 38.2 WLWWL
- Boyacá Chicó
Colombian Primera A
17.10.25	Boyacá Chicó - Independiente Santa Fe	0:0 ✺
13.10.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Boyacá Chicó	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Boyacá Chicó - Atlético Nacional	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	Once Caldas - Boyacá Chicó	5:2 ✺
21.09.25	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Pereira	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
05.05.25	Boyacá Chicó - Envigado	1:0
18.08.24	Boyacá Chicó - Envigado	0:0
01.02.24	Envigado - Boyacá Chicó	2:0
01.09.23	Boyacá Chicó - Envigado	1:0
18.03.23	Envigado - Boyacá Chicó	0:1
23.03.21	Boyacá Chicó - Envigado	3:0
25.01.20	Envigado - Boyacá Chicó	1:0

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