Match Info

1st Division - Promotion Group - Round 25

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Blue Water Arena (Esbjerg)

Referee: Nielsen J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Esbjerg		Hillerød

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3
	2.27	3.3	3.05	Watch
	2.4	3.3	3.14
	2.2	3.42	3.16	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.8
	2.35	3.14	3.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.49)	3.26 ↓ (3.43)	3.03 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esbjerg
40.7%

Draw
28.6%

Hillerød
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

26.9%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

26.6%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esbjerg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Hillerød has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hillerød might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hillerød than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Esbjerg - Hillerød Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Esbjerg will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Esbjerg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Esbjerg (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Esbjerg (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. McCrorie R. (G) 14. Kolawole J. 4. Tjornelund P. 3. Skipper A. 25. Renecke W. 19. Strand S. 11. Bjur P. 12. Lausen A. 8. Maden M. 7. From L. (C) 80. Brajanac M.	1. Kappenberger A. (G) 3. Allen C. 7. Witt J. (C) 25. Glindtvad W. 5. Boje-Larsen L. 10. Kallsberg P. 11. Mouritz M. 12. Schmidt N. 22. Jalaei S. 9. Heiselberg F. 8. Arndal T.
Substitutes
23. Ammitzboll A. 31. Bennedsgaard J. H. 5. Foss J. 18. Hansen M. 16. Kristensen K. (G) 40. Larsen E. 17. Lucena J. 15. Sonderskov A. 6. Vigen L.	4. Arndal-Lauritzen G. 19. Corlu R. 26. Dithmer A. (G) 6. Due Grandt M. 21. Enghardt K. 17. Julo M. 20. Kucukylidiz B. 13. Larsen S. 80. Sulemana H.
Coaches
Manoharan S.	Lonstrup C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Arndal T. ↓, Corlu R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jalaei S. ↓, Sulemana H. ↑,
61', Schmidt N. ↓, Kucukylidiz B. ↑,
61', Kallsberg P. ↓, Due Grandt M. ↑,
61', Kolawole J. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
65', Kucukylidiz B. 🟨,
73', From L. ↓, Lucena J. ↑,
82', Bjur P. ↓, Vigen L. ↑,
82', Lausen A. ↓, Ammitzboll A. ↑,
90', Corlu R. 🟨,
90+1', Kucukylidiz B. ↓, Enghardt K. ↑,
90+4', Renecke W. 🟨,

Preview

Esbjerg is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hillerød has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Esbjerg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Esbjerg won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Hillerod	10	2	3	5	13:16	-3	9
12	Esbjerg	10	1	3	6	13:22	-9	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esbjerg fB
Danish 1 Division
10.04.26	Esbjerg - Hvidovre	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Kolding IF - Esbjerg	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Aalborg BK - Esbjerg	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Esbjerg - Hillerød	2:2 ✺
06.03.26	HB Køge - Esbjerg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTTTW
- Hillerød Fodbold
Danish 1 Division
11.04.26	Hillerød - Horsens	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Hvidovre - Hillerød	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Hillerød - Aarhus Fremad	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Esbjerg - Hillerød	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Hillerød - B.93 Copenhagen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
15.03.26	Esbjerg - Hillerød	2:2
14.09.25	Hillerød - Esbjerg	3:0
24.11.24	Hillerød - Esbjerg	1:2
29.09.24	Esbjerg - Hillerød	1:1

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