Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 25

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday


	Escobedo		Guarnizo

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.4	4.8
	1.81	3.24	4.07
	1.67	3.3	5.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.6)	3.31 ↓ (3.44)	4.72 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Escobedo
53.3%

Draw
27.4%

Guarnizo
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

25.5%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

23.9%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Escobedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Guarnizo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Escobedo than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarnizo than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Escobedo won 4.

Escobedo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guarnizo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Escobedo is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Escobedo won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Escobedo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UM Escobedo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
12.03.23	Siete Villas - Escobedo	0:1 ✺
04.03.23	Escobedo - Sámano	0:5 ✺
26.02.23	Torina - Escobedo	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	Escobedo - Gama	7:0 ✺
12.02.23	Textil Escudo - Escobedo	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLTWW
- CD Guarnizo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
11.03.23	Guarnizo - Tropezón	1:2 ✺
05.03.23	Naval Reinosa - Guarnizo	1:0 ✺
26.02.23	Guarnizo - Castro	4:1 ✺
18.02.23	Cartes - Guarnizo	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	Guarnizo - Cayón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
20.11.22	Guarnizo - Escobedo	0:2
20.03.22	Guarnizo - Escobedo	0:1
20.11.21	Escobedo - Guarnizo	1:2
23.01.21	Guarnizo - Escobedo	0:2
15.01.20	Escobedo - Guarnizo	1:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
11.11.17	Escobedo - Guarnizo	3:2

Escobedo - Guarnizo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide