Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de Balaídos (Vigo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5
Belgium	21:00	VOOsport World 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Bulgaria	22:00	Ring, Voyo
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
China	04:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Greece	22:00	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 6
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Iceland	20:00	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport MIX, TV8
Kazakhstan	02:00	Kazakhstan TV
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Mongolia	04:00	Premier Sports 3
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 6
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	21:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 17, Blue Sport 17, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	03:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	23:00	Tabii
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4, TNT Sports 5
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus, ON Sport


	Celta de Vigo		Lille

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3.3
	2.35	3.3	3
	2.3	3.3	3.3
	2.25	3.6	2.8
	2.38	3.35	3.04	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.2
	2.22	3.37	3.54
	2.36	3.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.3)	3.34 ↓ (3.54)	3.15 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo
41.5%

Draw
28.4%

Lille
30.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41%

26.7%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

26.4%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46%	40%	14%

Celta de Vigo - Lille Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Celta will win (votes: 23 - 46%). Lille will win (votes: 7 - 14%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celta: 32.2% – 59.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta (votes: 9 - 42.9%). Lille (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 9 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Celta (1.63) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 57.1%) .

DC - Celta (1.39) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +0.25 - Lille (1.87) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Celta (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 32 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta (votes: 18 - 56.3%). Lille (votes: 5 - 15.6%). Tie (votes: 9 - 28.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Radu I. (G) 32. Rodriguez J. 2. Starfelt C. 20. Alonso M. 17. Rueda J. 22. Sotelo H. 16. Roman M. 3. Mingueza O. 10. Aspas I. (C) 7. Iglesias B. 19. Swedberg W.	1. Ozer B. (G) 12. Meunier T. 3. Ngoy N. 4. Alexsandro 15. Perraud R. 14. Broholm M. 17. Mukau N. 6. Bentaleb N. 27. Correia F. 10. Haraldsson H. 9. Giroud O. (C)
Substitutes
23. Alvarez H. 31. Burcio H. 5. Carreira S. 11. Cervi F. 18. Duran P. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 12. Fernandez M. 9. Jutgla F. 29. Lago Y. 21. Ristic M. 1. Villar I. (G) 15. Zaragoza B.	39. Baret L. 16. Bodart A. (G) 42. Boussadia S. 35. Diaoune S. 7. Fernandez-Pardo M. 38. Goffi A. 23. Mandi A. 18. Mbemba Ch. 40. Sajous T. (G) 22. Santos T. 24. Verdonk C.
Coaches
Giraldez C.	Genesio B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Swedberg W. ⚽, Aspas I. (A),
10', Bentaleb N. ↓, Mandi A. ↑,
29', Sotelo H. 🟥,
31', Alonso M. 🟨,
32', Ngoy N. 🟨,
33', Mingueza O. 🟨,
40', Mandi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Iglesias B. ↓, Duran P. ↑,
46', Aspas I. ↓, Carreira S. ↑,
46', Alexsandro ↓, Fernandez-Pardo M. ↑,
46', Meunier T. ↓, Santos T. ↑,
64', Swedberg W. 🟨,
69', 2 - 0, Starfelt C. ⚽, Roman M. (A),
71', Swedberg W. ↓, El Abdellaoui J. ↑,
74', Correia F. ↓, Diaoune S. ↑,
82', Radu I. 🟨,
86', 2 - 1, Giroud O. ⚽, Diaoune S. (A),
87', Broholm M. ↓, Verdonk C. ↑,
89', Mingueza O. ↓, Alvarez H. ↑,
90+2', Rueda J. ↓, Ristic M. ↑,

Preview

Celta is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lille has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Celta: Aidoo J. (Inactive) Allende T. (Inactive) Dominguez C. (Ankle Injury) Moriba I. (Yellow Cards) de la Torre L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Lille: Andre B. (Injury) Bouaddi A. (Red Card) Gomes A. (Inactive) Igamane H. (Knee Injury) Toure O. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Lille: Fernandez-Pardo M. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Celta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Celta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
25	Celta Vigo	3	1	0	2	3:4	-1	3

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Celta Vigo: 3.5%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
18.01.26	Celta de Vigo - Rayo Vallecano	3:0 ✺
12.01.26	Sevilla - Celta de Vigo	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Celta de Vigo - Valencia	4:1 ✺
20.12.25	Real Oviedo - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Albacete Balompié - Celta de Vigo	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWTL
- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
16.01.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Lille	3:0 ✺
Coupe De France
11.01.26	Lille - Lyon	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
03.01.26	Lille - Rennes	0:2 ✺
Coupe De France
20.12.25	Lusitanos Saint-Maur - Lille	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
14.12.25	Auxerre - Lille	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.07.24	Lille - Celta de Vigo	3:1
27.07.19	Celta de Vigo - Lille	1:0

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