Match Info

LaLiga - Round 21

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia)

Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 1
Angola	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Bangladesh	Begin
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 3
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Valencia		Espanyol

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.38	3.15	3.2
	2.47	3.22	3.32
	2.51	3.11	3.06	Watch
	2.38	3	3.1
	2.45	3.27	3.32	Watch
	2.36	3.14	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.31)	3.14 ↓ (3.45)	3.21 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valencia
39.6%

Draw
30.5%

Espanyol
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

27.5%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

28.3%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	37.1%	34.3%

Valencia - Espanyol Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Valencia will win (votes: 10 - 28.6%). Espanyol will win (votes: 12 - 34.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 37.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.1% – 53.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Valencia (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Espanyol (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DC - Espanyol (1.56) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Espanyol (2.21) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Valencia (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Espanyol (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dimitrievski S. (G) 20. Foulquier D. 3. Copete J. 24. Comert E. 21. Vazquez J. 11. Rioja L. 18. Pepelu (C) 23. Ugrinic F. 7. Danjuma A. 9. Duro H. 15. Beltran L.	13. Dmitrovic M. (G) 2. Sanchez R. 5. Calero F. 6. Cabrera L. (C) 22. Romero C. 17. Jofre 4. Gonzalez U. 10. Lozano P. 14. Terrats R. 9. Fernandez Jaen R. 11. Milla P.
Substitutes
28. Abril V. (G) 10. Almeida A. 40. Fontanet J. 8. Guerra J. 16. Lopez D. 36. Navarro J. 32. Panach A. 19. Raba D. 17. Ramazani L. 26. Rubo 6. Sadiq U. 22. Santamaria B.	24. Dolan T. 8. Exposito 1. Fortuno A. (G) 19. Garcia K. 18. Pickel C. 38. Riedel C. 20. Roca A. 15. Rubio M. 12. Salinas J. 30. Tristan P. (G)
Coaches
Corberan C.	Gonzalez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Duro H. ⚽, Beltran L. (A),
45+1', Lozano P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
51', Milla P. ↓, Garcia K. ↑,
51', Lozano P. ↓, Exposito ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Terrats R. ⚽, Garcia K. (A),
56', Garcia K. 🟨,
59', 2 - 1, Comert E. ⚽, Danjuma A. (A),
63', Vazquez J. 🟨,
63', Duro H. ↓, Sadiq U. ↑,
64', Danjuma A. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
67', Calero F. 🟨,
70', Jofre ↓, Dolan T. ↑,
79', Terrats R. ↓, Pickel C. ↑,
79', Calero F. ↓, Rubio M. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Copete J. (Own goal),
88', Ugrinic F. ↓, Santamaria B. ↑,
88', Rioja L. ↓, Ramazani L. ↑,
88', Pepelu ↓, Guerra J. ↑,
90+3', Sanchez R. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 2, Ramazani L. (Penalty Awarded),
90+8', Dolan T. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Valencia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Valencia: Agirrezabala J. (Muscle Injury) Correia T. (Injury) Diakhaby M. (Muscle Injury) Gaya J. (Yellow Cards) Rivero C. (Red Card) Tarrega C. (Injury)

There will not play in Espanyol: El Hilali O. (Yellow Cards) Puado J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Valencia: Raba D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Valencia won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Valencia: 0.31% Espanyol: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10:10	0	7
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4:13	-9	4

Last Results with these Odds

Espanyol - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 31.35%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
18.01.26	Getafe - Valencia	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.01.26	Burgos - Valencia	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
10.01.26	Valencia - Elche	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Celta de Vigo - Valencia	4:1 ✺
19.12.25	Valencia - Mallorca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWTLT
- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga
16.01.26	Espanyol - Girona	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Levante - Espanyol	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Espanyol - Barcelona	0:2 ✺
22.12.25	Athletic Bilbao - Espanyol	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Getafe - Espanyol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
23.09.25	Espanyol - Valencia	2:2
22.04.25	Valencia - Espanyol	1:1
18.12.24	Espanyol - Valencia	1:1
28.05.23	Valencia - Espanyol	2:2
02.10.22	Espanyol - Valencia	2:2
14.05.22	Espanyol - Valencia	1:1
31.12.21	Valencia - Espanyol	1:2

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