Match Info

Date: 4 February 2022, Friday


	Benfica B		Casa Pia

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.2
	3.1	3.25	2.15
	3.2	3.1	2.14
	3.2	3.15	2.19
	3.49	3.27	2.27
	3.2	3	2.15
	3.32	3.15	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.21)	3.15 ↑ (2.98)	2.18 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica B
28.4%

Draw
29.3%

Casa Pia
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

30.8%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

20.3%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benfica B's form might have worsened.

Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Casa Pia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Benfica B - Casa Pia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

Recent matches Benfica B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Casa Pia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Casa Pia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Benfica B won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Benfica B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica B
Portuguese Liga 2
28.01.22	Trofense - Benfica B	2:0 ✺
23.01.22	Benfica B - Penafiel	1:0 ✺
16.01.22	Nacional - Benfica B	0:3 ✺
10.01.22	Benfica B - Porto B	1:2 ✺
28.12.21	Feirense - Benfica B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWLL
- Casa Pia
Portuguese Liga 2
31.01.22	Casa Pia - Penafiel	2:0 ✺
23.01.22	Porto B - Casa Pia	0:3 ✺
15.01.22	Casa Pia - Académico de Viseu	0:1 ✺
09.01.22	Casa Pia - Leixões	1:0 ✺
03.01.22	Vilafranquense - Casa Pia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
28.08.21	Casa Pia - Benfica B	4:2
07.02.21	Benfica B - Casa Pia	2:0
19.09.20	Casa Pia - Benfica B	0:6
11.01.20	Benfica B - Casa Pia	4:0

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