Match Info

Date: 8 February 2022, Tuesday


	Estrela da Amadora		Académica Coimbra

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	3.75
	1.87	3.4	3.9
	1.95	3.2	3.65
	1.94	3.2	3.8
	1.97	3.61	4.01
	1.91	3.2	3.7
	1.94	3.44	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.8)	3.34 ↓ (3.4)	3.79 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela da Amadora
48%

Draw
27.6%

Académica Coimbra
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

26.7%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

21%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Académica Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estrela da Amadora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Académica Coimbra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73%	10.8%	16.2%

Estrela da Amadora - Académica Coimbra Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 27 - 73%). Académica will win (votes: 6 - 16.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estrela: 58.7% – 87.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Recent matches Estrela is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Académica is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Académica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Estrela will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Estrela won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela da Amadora
Portuguese Liga 2
28.01.22	Farense - Estrela da Amadora	3:0 ✺
23.01.22	Estrela da Amadora - Trofense	2:0 ✺
18.01.22	Mafra - Estrela da Amadora	2:2 ✺
09.01.22	Covilhã - Estrela da Amadora	1:3 ✺
27.12.21	Estrela da Amadora - Chaves	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWTWL
- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 2
03.02.22	Farense - Académica Coimbra	3:1 ✺
30.01.22	Académica Coimbra - Leixões	1:0 ✺
22.01.22	Varzim - Académica Coimbra	1:0 ✺
19.01.22	Académica Coimbra - Rio Ave	1:2 ✺
28.12.21	Académica Coimbra - Trofense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
16.09.21	Académica Coimbra - Estrela da Amadora	2:2

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