Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 23

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio José Gomes (Amadora)

Referee: Soares Dias A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Estrela da Amadora		Chaves

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.9	3.3	4.1	Watch
	1.9	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.95	3.35	4.3
	1.93	3.42	4.54
	1.91	3.3	3.9	Watch
	1.9	3.5	4.21	Watch
	1.93	3.45	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.01)	3.39 ↓ (3.47)	4.21 ↑ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Estrela da Amadora
49.5%

Draw
28%

Chaves
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

27.5%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

28.1%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	29.4%	11.8%

Estrela da Amadora - Chaves Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Chaves will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estrela: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Bruno (G) 4. Gaspar K. (C) 5. Mendes P. 28. Lima R. 27. Hevertton S. 22. Leo Cordeiro 6. Aloisio 75. Varela N. 10. Andre Luiz 9. Tavares R. 8. Leo Jaba	1. Hugo Souza (G) 4. Bruno Rodrigues 19. Vitoria S. 40. Pius J. 77. Correia J. (C) 14. Essugo D. 80. Raphael Guzzo 21. Guima 33. Cruz S. 99. Jo 23. Hernandez H.
Substitutes
1. Antonio Filipe (G) 26. Bucca L. 12. Jean Felipe 29. Kikas 13. Lopes M. 31. Nanu 7. Ndo R. 80. Oakley-Boothe T. 21. Sa P.	7. Benny 70. Morim H. 31. Moura R. (G) 28. Nwakali K. 9. Paulo Victor 20. Ribeiro R. 10. Sanca L. 2. Sylla H. 3. Ygor Nogueira
Coaches
Vieira S.	Moreno T.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Estrela is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Chaves is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chaves could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Estrela will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Estrela: Henrique G. (Injury) Keliano M. (Injury) Lopes M. (Injury) Mansur (Injury)

There will not play in Chaves: Sylla H. (Injury)

There are questionable in Chaves: Pinho P. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Estrela won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Estrela won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal
17.02.24	Porto - Estrela da Amadora	2:0 ✺
09.02.24	Estrela da Amadora - Portimonense	3:0 ✺
04.02.24	Estoril Praia - Estrela da Amadora	1:0 ✺
29.01.24	Estrela da Amadora - Benfica	1:4 ✺
21.01.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Estrela da Amadora	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLL
- Desportivo Chaves
Liga Portugal
17.02.24	Chaves - Boavista	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	Moreirense - Chaves	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Chaves - Farense	1:1 ✺
31.01.24	Braga - Chaves	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Chaves - Rio Ave	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
24.09.23	Chaves - Estrela da Amadora	2:2
Portuguese Liga 2
08.05.22	Chaves - Estrela da Amadora	2:2
27.12.21	Estrela da Amadora - Chaves	1:3

Upcoming Matches