Match Info

Primera C - Round 21

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Estrella del Sur		Deportivo Paraguayo

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.25	5.10
	1.54	3.36	6.23
	1.56	3.38	6.36	Watch
	1.52	3.30	6.00
	1.63	3.32	6.48
	1.54	3.30	6.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.63)	3.32 ↑ (3.25)	6.03 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrella del Sur
57.7%

Draw
27.3%

Deportivo Paraguayo
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

27.5%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

26.6%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrella del Sur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Deportivo Paraguayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrella del Sur than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Paraguayo than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Estrella del Sur - Deportivo Paraguayo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone Torneo Promocional Amateur (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent performances by Estrella del Sur have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Deportivo Paraguayo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Estrella del Sur is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Estrella del Sur won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Estrella del Sur won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrella del Sur de Alejandro Korn
Argentinian Primera C
12.07.26	Puerto Nuevo - Estrella del Sur	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	Estrella del Sur - Leandro N. Alem	3:0 ✺
28.06.26	Defensores de Cambaceres - Estrella del Sur	0:3 ✺
14.06.26	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Estrella del Sur	2:0 ✺
06.06.26	Estrella del Sur - Sacachispas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWLT
- Deportivo Paraguayo
Argentinian Primera C
11.07.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Berazategui	0:1 ✺
05.07.26	Victoriano Arenas - Deportivo Paraguayo	0:0 ✺
27.06.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Centro Español	0:2 ✺
13.06.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Justo José de Urquiza	0:0 ✺
06.06.26	Mercedes - Deportivo Paraguayo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
28.03.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Estrella del Sur	1:3
02.09.25	Deportivo Paraguayo - Estrella del Sur	1:2
21.05.25	Estrella del Sur - Deportivo Paraguayo	2:1

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