Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 1 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado (Valencia)

Referee: Ospina J. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
Argentina	Disney+, Fox Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
South-america	ESPN 7 Latin America
Spain	beIN Sports
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
International	Disney+


	Carabobo		Estudiantes La Plata

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.3	1.75	Watch
	4.8	3.3	1.77
	4.75	3.25	1.82	Watch
	5.41	3.24	1.8	Watch
	4.8	3.2	1.75	Watch
	5.75	3.31	1.74	Watch
	4.75	3.25	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.11 ↑ (4.3)	3.26 ↓ (3.3)	1.78 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Carabobo
18.4%

Draw
28.8%

Estudiantes La Plata
52.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.7%

28.3%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

27.7%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carabobo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Carabobo - Estudiantes La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Bruera L. (C) 8. Perez J. 27. Rodriguez N. 32. Neira E. 28. Bonilla P. 5. Gonzalez G. 26. Nunez M. 18. Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 7. Tortolero E. 9. Londono F. 11. Canozales C.	12. Mansilla M. (G) 20. Meza E. 6. Nunez S. 2. Rodriguez F. 15. Arzamendia S. 8. Gabriel Neves 5. Ascacibar S. (C) 21. Piovi L. 25. Medina C. 9. Carrillo G. 10. Palacios T.
Substitutes
4. Aponte L. 14. Berrios J. 23. Congo J. 1. Gil D. (G) 2. Guaramato M. 16. Lopez F. 15. Mendoza S. 3. Osio D. 13. Pernia M. 99. Riasco J. 10. Robert Hernandez 21. Ruiz F.	27. Alario L. 13. Benedetti G. 22. Castro A. 18. Cetre E. 11. Farias F. 26. Funes Mori R. 23. Gimenez L. 4. Gomez R. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 19. Manyoma A. 35. Pierani V. 7. Sosa J.
Coaches
Merino D.	Dominguez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Nunez M. 🟨,
28', Carrillo G. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Nunez S. ⚽, Palacios T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Londono F. ↓, Berrios J. ↑,
60', Gonzalez G. 🟨,
60', Medina C. 🟨,
64', Tortolero E. 🟥,
72', Ramos Rodriguez C. I. ↓, Pernia M. ↑,
72', Nunez M. ↓, Congo J. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Ascacibar S. (Pen),
76', Piovi L. ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
76', Medina C. ↓, Sosa J. ↑,
82', Carrillo G. ↓, Alario L. ↑,
82', Palacios T. ↓, Manyoma A. ↑,
83', Perez J. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
83', Canozales C. ↓, Robert Hernandez ↑,
87', Ascacibar S. ↓, Farias F. ↑,
89', Pernia M. 🟨,
90', Cetre E. 🟨,
90+1', Congo J. 🟨,
90+3', Manyoma A. 🟨,

Preview

Carabobo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Estudiantes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Estudiantes is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carabobo FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
28.03.25	Carabobo - Rayo Zuliano	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Universidad Central - Carabobo	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Carabobo - Monagas	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Zamora - Carabobo	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Metropolitanos - Carabobo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWWL
- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.03.25	Barracas Central - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Newells Old Boys	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Defensa y Justicia - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	River Plate - Estudiantes La Plata	0:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
25.02.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de La Banda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTLWW

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