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Current Win Probability
Estudiantes La Plata 41.2%
Draw 34.3%
Vélez Sársfield 24.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.3%
32.7%
24%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
31.5%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
61.5%
30.8%
7.7%
Estudiantes La Plata - Vélez Sársfield Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Vélez will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 35% – 88%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Estudiantes (1.22) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
DNB - Estudiantes (1.51) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Estudiantes La Plata will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 6 - 75%). Vélez (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Muslera F. (G) 20. Meza E. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 24. Palacios T. 13. Benedetti G. 32. Amondarain M. 21. Piovi L. 10. Palacios T. 29. Perez Fabricio 18. Cetre E. 9. Carrillo G.
12. Montero A. (G) 4. Garcia J. 2. Mammana E. 16. Magallan L. 3. Gomez E. 8. Robertone L. 5. Baeza C. 50. Andrada T. 22. Lanzini M. 7. Machuca I. 23. Monzon F.
Substitutes
28. Aguirre B. 27. Alario L. 17. Burgos J. 39. Cornejo L. 11. Farias F. 19. Gaich A. 34. Gonzalez T. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 40. Mancuso E. 4. Nunez S. 36. Pereyra J. 35. Pierani V.
29. Aliendro R. 35. Arias M. 19. Cristaldo L. 49. Dominguez D. 48. Feler L. 15. Godoy D. 1. Marchiori T. (G) 14. Pineiro R. 6. Quiros A. 9. Romero B. 32. Silvero T. 17. Veron A.
Coaches
Medina A.
Barros Schelotto G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Robertone L. 🟨,
20', Baeza C. 🟨,
38', Meza E. 🟨,
40', Monzon F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Amondarain M. 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Monzon F. ⚽, Magallan L. (A),
61', Perez Fabricio ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
66', Robertone L. ↓, Aliendro R. ↑,
66', Machuca I. ↓, Arias M. ↑,
70', Palacios T. ↓, Farias F. ↑,
70', Meza E. ↓, Mancuso E. ↑,
70', Arias M. 🟨,
81', Gonzalez Pirez L. 🟨,
87', Benedetti G. ↓, Burgos J. ↑,
87', Cetre E. ↓, Gaich A. ↑,
88', Lanzini M. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
90', Palacios T. 🟨,
90+3', Monzon F. ↓, Quiros A. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 3.
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
Estudiantes could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S.
(Knee Injury)
Carrillo G.
(Inactive)
Castro A.
(Inactive)
Gabriel Neves
(Injury)
Sosa J.
(Injury)
There will not play in Vélez: Escobar S.
(Inactive)
Gordon J.
(Inactive)
Pellegrini M.
(Inactive)
Valdes D.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:30. (average 1.4:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
Argentina
Croatia
Kosovo
Mexico
Serbia
Usa
World
Watch
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Muslera F. (G) 
Meza E. 
Cetre E. 
Baeza C. 
Machuca I. 
Cristaldo L. 
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