Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Marcelo Bielsa (Rosario)

Referee: Lamolina N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Newells Old Boys		Estudiantes La Plata

	1	X	2
	3.8	2.75	2.3	Watch
	3.65	2.82	2.3	Watch
	3.78	2.89	2.36
	3.94	2.93	2.19	Watch
	3.5	2.63	2.3
	3.81	2.81	2.36	Watch
	3.75	3	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.7)	2.83 ↓ (2.89)	2.28 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Newells Old Boys
25.2%

Draw
33.3%

Estudiantes La Plata
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

32.5%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

31.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10%	90%

Newells Old Boys - Estudiantes La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 9 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 71.4% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Estudiantes (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Estudiantes La Plata will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Arias G. (C) 14. Mendez A. 25. Cabrera B. 23. Goitea N. 28. Russo J. 8. Sotelo D. 5. Regiardo L. 10. Acuna V. 20. Guch F. 27. Herrera L. 33. Nunez W.	16. Muslera F. (G) 20. Meza E. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. (C) 24. Palacios T. 13. Benedetti G. 10. Palacios T. 21. Piovi L. 32. Amondarain M. 28. Aguirre B. 29. Perez Fabricio 19. Gaich A.
Substitutes
1. Barlasina W. (G) 29. Esponda M. 17. Garcia F. 19. Gomez J. 26. Herrera R. 9. Hoyos M. 7. Orozco F. 99. Ramirez I. 24. Risso G. 15. Salcedo S. 22. Salomon O. 36. Scarpeccio F.	27. Alario L. 17. Burgos J. 18. Cetre E. 39. Cornejo L. 23. Dominguez F. 11. Farias F. 26. Funes Mori R. 34. Gonzalez T. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 40. Mancuso E. 4. Nunez S. 36. Pereyra J.
Coaches
Bernardi L.	Medina A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Herrera L. 🟨,
31', Russo J. 🟨,
38', Sotelo D. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
45', Gonzalez Pirez L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 0 - 1, Palacios T. ⚽, Gaich A. (A),
60', Herrera L. ↓, Hoyos M. ↑,
60', Nunez W. ↓, Scarpeccio F. ↑,
60', Russo J. ↓, Risso G. ↑,
60', Aguirre B. ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
72', Meza E. ↓, Mancuso E. ↑,
72', Palacios T. ↓, Burgos J. ↑,
73', Arias G. ↓, Barlasina W. ↑,
81', 0 - 2, Perez Fabricio ⚽, Burgos J. (A),
85', Perez Fabricio ↓, Alario L. ↑,
85', Gaich A. ↓, Farias F. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys won 0.

Newells Old Boys is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Estudiantes is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Estudiantes might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Coccaro M. (Inactive) Montero A. (Knee Injury) Mosquera J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S. (Knee Injury) Funes Mori R. (Inactive) Gabriel Neves (Injury)

There are questionable in Estudiantes: Sosa J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Newells Old Boys won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Estudiantes La Plata - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 42.15%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newells Old Boys
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.02.26	Banfield - Newells Old Boys	3:0 ✺
16.02.26	Deportivo Riestra - Newells Old Boys	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Newells Old Boys - Defensa y Justicia	2:3 ✺
01.02.26	Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Newells Old Boys - Independiente	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTLLT
- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.02.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes La Plata	0:0 ✺
09.02.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
02.02.26	Defensa y Justicia - Estudiantes La Plata	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.09.25	Newells Old Boys - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1
15.03.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Newells Old Boys	1:1
02.08.24	Newells Old Boys - Estudiantes La Plata	1:4
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
19.02.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Newells Old Boys	2:0
24.09.23	Newells Old Boys - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
31.03.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Newells Old Boys	3:0
25.06.22	Estudiantes La Plata - Newells Old Boys	0:2

Upcoming Matches