Match Info

ARGENTINA: COPA ARGENTINA - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 6 September 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López (Santa Fe)

Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)


	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto		Defensa y Justicia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.25	3.5	1.63
	4.23	3.48	1.83
	4.5	3.2	1.78
	4.8	3.44	1.79	Watch
	4.3	3.4	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.62 ↓ (9)	3.4 ↓ (4.67)	1.77 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
20.1%

Draw
27.3%

Defensa y Justicia
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.2%

19.6%

70.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.7%

18.6%

73.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes de Río Cuarto's performance.

Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensa y Justicia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estudiantes de Río Cuarto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+21.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensa y Justicia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	7.7%	38.5%

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Defensa y Justicia Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. E Río Cuarto will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for E Río Cuarto: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petroli F. (G) 4. Arturia G. 2. Zurbriggen S. 6. Maffini G. (C) 3. Castet F. 5. Leyes N. 8. Cainelli N. 10. Talpone N. 11. Romero F. 7. Valiente M. 9. Bajamich M.	23. Bologna E. (G) 32. Sant'Anna A. 21. Ramos S. 25. Cardona T. (C) 26. Caceres D. 4. Tripichio N. 8. Lopez J. 27. Solari S. 19. Barbona D. 11. Togni G. 29. Fernandez N.
Substitutes
18. Belluschi F. 12. Bigo J. (G) 23. Correa T. 17. Escalante I. 20. Fenoglio V. 15. Flores L. 13. Landa L. 14. Lopez F. 16. Pavon A. 19. Reynaga R. 22. Silba L. 21. Villalba G.	12. Beron J. 10. Bogarin R. 30. Castellani G. 7. Duarte M. 15. Escalante L. T. 22. Fiermarin C. (G) 6. Gissi D. 34. Lopez L. 18. Pratto L. 9. Rios A. 35. Schamine F. 20. Versaci F.
Coaches
Delfino I.	Vaccari J.

Preview

Neutral location.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Defensa y Justicia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Defensa y Justicia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.09.23	Güemes - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
26.08.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Patronato Parana	2:1 ✺
21.08.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
15.08.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Alvarado	1:1 ✺
07.08.23	Deportivo Flandria - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLTL
- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
03.09.23	Defensa y Justicia - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.08.23	Defensa y Justicia - Botafogo RJ	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
27.08.23	Platense - Defensa y Justicia	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.08.23	Botafogo RJ - Defensa y Justicia	1:1 ✺
08.08.23	Defensa y Justicia - Emelec	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWTTW

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