Match Info
Premier League - Round 26Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday
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Negele Arsi Ketema |
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Ethiopian Medhin |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.52 |
2.82 |
2.82 |
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2.59 |
2.77 |
2.84 |
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2.64 |
2.76 |
2.89 |
 Watch |
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2.5 |
2.63 |
2.88 |
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2.54 |
2.76 |
2.8 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(2.02) |
2.75 ↓
(2.98) |
2.85 ↓
(3.91) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Negele Arsi Ketema
35.3% | Draw
32.9% | Ethiopian Medhin
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Negele Arsi Ketema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Negele Arsi Ketema's form might have worsened.Ethiopian Medhin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ethiopian Medhin's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Negele Arsi Ketema than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Negele Arsi Ketema, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethiopian Medhin than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ethiopian Medhin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Negele Arsi Ketema will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ethiopian Medhin will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 80', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 and 17).Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game. Negele Arsi Ketema could have a small edge in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Negele Arsi Ketema won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
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Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 25:18 | 7 | 42 |
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| 16 | Ethiopian Insurance | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:20 | 0 | 29 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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