Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 30 November 2022, Wednesday

Location: Goodison Park (Liverpool)


	Everton U21		Mansfield Town

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	1.95
	2.9	3.75	2.05
	3.05	3.65	2.08
	3.38	3.82	2
	3.1	3.4	2.05
	3.04	3.78	2.14
	3.05	3.65	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (1.99)	3.65 ↑ (3.55)	2.05 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Everton U21
29.8%

Draw
25.2%

Mansfield Town
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

25.5%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

25.5%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Everton U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Everton U21's form might have worsened.

Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mansfield Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Everton U21 than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Everton U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mansfield Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	26.7%	60%

Everton U21 - Mansfield Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Everton U21 will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Mansfield will win (votes: 9 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mansfield: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Everton U21 is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mansfield is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Everton U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Mansfield have a series of guest games.

Mansfield will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Everton U21 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Everton U21
English Premier League Cup
25.11.22	Everton U21 - Birmingham City U21	1:1 ✺
13.11.22	Everton U21 - Southampton U21	1:2 ✺
English Premier League 2
06.11.22	Arsenal U21 - Everton U21	3:1 ✺
29.10.22	Everton U21 - Manchester City U21	6:3 ✺
22.10.22	Liverpool U21 - Everton U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLLWL
- Mansfield Town
English FA Cup
26.11.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Mansfield Town	2:1 ✺
English League Two
19.11.22	Harrogate Town - Mansfield Town	3:0 ✺
12.11.22	Rochdale - Mansfield Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.22	Barrow - Mansfield Town	0:1 ✺
English League Two
29.10.22	Mansfield Town - Swindon Town	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
27.08.19	Mansfield Town - Everton U21	1:2 penalties

Upcoming Matches