Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 29 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Hillsborough (Sheffield)

Referee: Gill S. (Eng)


	Sheffield Wednesday		Mansfield Town

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.8	4
	1.95	3.6	3.6
	1.85	3.92	3.94
	1.7	3.6	3.8
	1.86	3.85	3.92	Watch
	1.9	3.75	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.49)	3.75 ↓ (4.4)	3.84 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheffield Wednesday
50.6%

Draw
25%

Mansfield Town
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

21.4%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

21.8%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheffield Wednesday has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sheffield Wednesday's form might have worsened.

Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mansfield Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sheffield Wednesday, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mansfield Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Sheffield Wednesday - Mansfield Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Sheff Wed will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Mansfield will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sheff Wed: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dawson C. (G) 6. Iorfa D. 20. Ihiekwe M. 23. Famewo A. 14. Valentin P. 19. Bakinson T. 10. Bannan B. (C) 13. Paterson C. 11. Windass J. 45. Musaba A. 27. Fletcher A.	1. Pym C. (G) 9. Bowery J. 14. Flint A. (C) 24. Brunt L. 11. MacDonald C. 8. Clarke O. 25. Reed L. 10. Maris G. 40. Keillor-Dunn D. 26. Swan W. 7. Akins L.
Substitutes
17. Bernard D. 15. Delgado J. 41. Gassama D. 9. Gregory L. 33. James R. 2. Palmer L. 24. Smith M. 36. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 4. Vaulks W.	28. Abdullah M. 29. Carter C. 19. Cooper G. 13. Flinders S. (G) 32. Kruszynski J. 18. Oates R. 33. Turner L. 31. Wauchope D. 22. Williams G.
Coaches
Xisco	Clough N.

Preview

Sheff Wed is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mansfield is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mansfield could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sheff Wed will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Sheff Wed: Wilks M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Mansfield: Kilgour A. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sheff Wed won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Sheff Wed won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheffield Wednesday
English League Championship
26.08.23	Cardiff City - Sheffield Wednesday	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Preston North End	0:1 ✺
12.08.23	Hull City - Sheffield Wednesday	4:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Stockport County	2:1 penalties ✺
English League Championship
04.08.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Southampton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL
- Mansfield Town
English League Two
26.08.23	Mansfield Town - Stockport County	3:2 ✺
19.08.23	Grimsby Town - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
15.08.23	Doncaster Rovers - Mansfield Town	2:2 ✺
12.08.23	Mansfield Town - Morecambe	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Mansfield Town - Grimsby Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
26.11.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Mansfield Town	2:1
English EFL Trophy
05.10.21	Mansfield Town - Sheffield Wednesday	1:2
Club Friendly
24.07.18	Mansfield Town - Sheffield Wednesday	2:1
15.07.17	Mansfield Town - Sheffield Wednesday	2:3
English League Cup
11.08.15	Sheffield Wednesday - Mansfield Town	4:1

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