Match Info

Date: 5 May 2022, Thursday


	Everton de Viña		São Paulo

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.45
	3.1	3.1	2.35
	3.1	2.9	2.4
	2.95	2.9	2.43
	3.12	3.06	2.52
	3	2.88	2.38	Watch
	2.95	3.08	2.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.42)	3 (3)	2.42 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Everton de Viña
30.6%

Draw
30.9%

São Paulo
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

29.7%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

29.9%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Everton de Viña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Paulo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton de Viña than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Paulo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.8%	12.8%	57.4%

Everton de Viña - São Paulo Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Everton will win (votes: 14 - 29.8%). São Paulo will win (votes: 27 - 57.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 12.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 43.3% – 71.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Everton de Viña is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches São Paulo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Everton de Viña could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently São Paulo have a series of guest games.

São Paulo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Everton de Viña won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Everton de Viña
Copa Sudamericana
26.04.22	Everton de Viña - Ayacucho	2:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
22.04.22	Everton de Viña - Palestino	0:0 ✺
18.04.22	Ñublense - Everton de Viña	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.04.22	São Paulo - Everton de Viña	2:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
09.04.22	Everton de Viña - Huachipato	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WTLLL
- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Serie A
02.05.22	São Paulo - Santos	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.04.22	Jorge Wilstermann - São Paulo	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
23.04.22	Red Bull Bragantino - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
20.04.22	Juventude - São Paulo	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
17.04.22	Flamengo - São Paulo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
14.04.22	São Paulo - Everton de Viña	2:0

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