Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 30

Date: 14 March 2025, Friday

Location: Jan Louwers Stadion (Eindhoven)

Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	FC Eindhoven		Excelsior

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.7	1.85	Watch
	3.6	3.7	1.82
	3.6	4	1.9	Watch
	3.78	4	1.9
	3.74	3.84	1.86	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.85
	3.8	3.82	1.85	Watch
	3.6	4	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↓ (3.91)	3.83 ↓ (3.94)	1.87 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Eindhoven
25.4%

Draw
24.4%

Excelsior
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

23.9%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

23.5%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

FC Eindhoven - Excelsior Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Borgmans J. (G) 33. Seedorf C. (C) 18. Limouri F. 24. van Aarle S. 34. Simons T. 6. Dorenbosch D. 15. Huisman D. 8. Simons S. 10. van Schuppen B. 27. El Bouchataoui A. 32. Janga R.	38. Kuiper P. (G) 2. Bronkhorst I. 5. Widell C. 4. Warmerdam D. 12. Zagre A. 8. Tielemans M. 23. Hatenboer C. 30. Sanches Fernandes D. 10. Duijvestijn L. (C) 21. Donkor J. 33. Bergraaf J.
Substitutes
7. Blummel S. 23. Konings J. 43. Kwaaitaal J. 31. Manders J. (G) 21. Muller T. 4. Peijnenburg M. 99. Persyn T. 11. Sleegers J. 5. Swerts M. 19. van Eijndhoven R. 30. van Zutphen R. (G) 20. Verheij L.	31. Cairo G. 32. de Moes S. 24. Eijgenraam J. 7. Fini S. 40. Holla T. (G) 17. Martens N. 14. Rosario R. 29. van Duinen M.
Coaches
Verberne M.	den Uil R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', El Bouchataoui A. ↓, Sleegers J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 0 - 1, Bergraaf J. ⚽, Zagre A. (A),
54', 1 - 1, Sleegers J. ⚽, van Schuppen B. (A),
72', Hatenboer C. 🟨,
73', Donkor J. ↓, Fini S. ↑,
73', Warmerdam D. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
73', Hatenboer C. ↓, Rosario R. ↑,
76', Simons S. ↓, Blummel S. ↑,
77', Huisman D. ↓, Peijnenburg M. ↑,
82', Bergraaf J. ↓, Eijgenraam J. ↑,
83', Simons T. 🟨,
84', 1 - 2, van Duinen M. ⚽, Kuiper P. (A),
88', Limouri F. ↓, Persyn T. ↑,
88', Dorenbosch D. ↓, Konings J. ↑,
88', Tielemans M. ↓, Martens N. ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches FC Eindhoven won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Excelsior could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Excelsior is a favorite.

There will not play in Excelsior: Blomme X. (Injury) Hartjes L. (Knee Injury) Raatsie C. (Yellow Cards)

Last 13 head-to-head matches FC Eindhoven won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24:26 (average 1.8:2).

Including matches at home between the teams FC Eindhoven won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.8:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

FC Eindhoven - the odds 3.91 are the expected chance of winning is 24.1%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Eindhoven
Dutch Eerste Divisie
07.03.25	FC Eindhoven - Vitesse	3:3 ✺
03.03.25	Jong Ajax - FC Eindhoven	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	FC Eindhoven - Jong Utrecht	1:2 ✺
14.02.25	MVV Maastricht - FC Eindhoven	2:0 ✺
07.02.25	FC Eindhoven - FC Oss	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWLLW
- Excelsior Rotterdam
Dutch Eerste Divisie
10.03.25	Excelsior - Den Bosch	3:1 ✺
07.03.25	De Graafschap - Excelsior	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Excelsior - Roda	1:1 ✺
21.02.25	Telstar - Excelsior	1:3 ✺
16.02.25	Excelsior - Helmond Sport	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch KNVB Beker
17.12.24	FC Eindhoven - Excelsior	1:3
Dutch Eerste Divisie
08.11.24	Excelsior - FC Eindhoven	2:0
07.02.22	FC Eindhoven - Excelsior	4:1
30.10.21	Excelsior - FC Eindhoven	3:4
15.01.21	Excelsior - FC Eindhoven	1:0
09.10.20	FC Eindhoven - Excelsior	1:1
28.02.20	FC Eindhoven - Excelsior	3:0

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